17) how did I get these numbers?
I analyzed the 2016 results,
added between 10% to 15% to Trump - related to a number of factors:
- Trump achievements
- silent majority
- honest Americans fed up with riots & Antifa
- Dems behavior with Kavanaugh
- Nanzy craziness
I analyzed the 2016 results,
added between 10% to 15% to Trump - related to a number of factors:
- Trump achievements
- silent majority
- honest Americans fed up with riots & Antifa
- Dems behavior with Kavanaugh
- Nanzy craziness
18) California:
very difficult.
the margin in 2016 was too high: 28.8%
Trump 32.8%
The Witch 61.6%
but I don't discard the possibility:
Miracles do happen!
I can't make a forecast on the outcome in California.
very difficult.
the margin in 2016 was too high: 28.8%
Trump 32.8%
The Witch 61.6%
but I don't discard the possibility:
Miracles do happen!
I can't make a forecast on the outcome in California.
19) as much as I would LOVE to see California RED Again - and Great Again! - in my analysis I preferred to stay more grounded as possible.
The margin in 2016 was too high: 28.8%
I think Trump should have done many BIG Rallies in California.
The margin in 2016 was too high: 28.8%
I think Trump should have done many BIG Rallies in California.
20) Wisconsin:
Trump 59%
Biden 41%
Trump 59%
Biden 41%
21) Minnesota:
Trump 57%
Biden 43%
Trump 57%
Biden 43%
22) North Carolina:
Trump 59%
Biden 41%
Trump 59%
Biden 41%
23) South Carolina:
Trump 63%
Biden 37%
Trump 63%
Biden 37%
24) Minnesota:
Trump 58%
Biden 42%
Trump 58%
Biden 42%
25) by the way:
in 2016 I made a forecast, based on two scenarios:
scenario A:
Trump 299
HRC 239
scenario B:
Trump 315
HRC 223
and guess what:
the actual result of the 2016 election was
Trump 306
HRC 232
pretty close, I would say...
in 2016 I made a forecast, based on two scenarios:
scenario A:
Trump 299
HRC 239
scenario B:
Trump 315
HRC 223
and guess what:
the actual result of the 2016 election was
Trump 306
HRC 232
pretty close, I would say...
26) much better than the New York Times, WaPo and CNN...
and way better than Fox News, too.
and way better than Fox News, too.
27) I can prove the claims at #25:
I have evidence, screenshots and links with dates.
I have evidence, screenshots and links with dates.
28) in 2016 I used the same methodologies I'm using today,
therefore I am quite confident the actual results in 2020 will be quite close to my forecast at #1.
If also California flips RED, well...
even better!
but California is impossible to predict, as I wrote at #18
therefore I am quite confident the actual results in 2020 will be quite close to my forecast at #1.
If also California flips RED, well...
even better!
but California is impossible to predict, as I wrote at #18
29) Maryland is too close to call, as you see at #16:
Trump 51%
Biden 49%
Therefore I called Trump victory in Maryland, but that is uncertain.
Maryland has 10 Electoral votes.
This has to be considered.
Trump 51%
Biden 49%
Therefore I called Trump victory in Maryland, but that is uncertain.
Maryland has 10 Electoral votes.
This has to be considered.
30) New Hampshire:
Trump 56%
Biden 44%
Trump 56%
Biden 44%
31) tomorrow morning (ET)
I will prepare a Map for a Scenario (B),
which considers a Trump Victory also in California.
why?
I received great feedback from Patriots in California,
way better than I expected, so... why not?
maybe a Victory in California IS possible!
I will prepare a Map for a Scenario (B),
which considers a Trump Victory also in California.
why?
I received great feedback from Patriots in California,
way better than I expected, so... why not?
maybe a Victory in California IS possible!