Read on Twitter
Many folk simply cannot get past the absolute number of Covid deaths.
It feels big to them, and it justifies ANYTHING.
Argue at all, and you are deeply ethically flawed.
<thread>
It feels big to them, and it justifies ANYTHING.
Argue at all, and you are deeply ethically flawed.
<thread>
1/
“1,000,000 Covid deaths worldwide!”
Is that a lot or a little?
Even if true as stated, that’s about a week of natural mortality. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1316176992904138753?s=20
“1,000,000 Covid deaths worldwide!”
Is that a lot or a little?
Even if true as stated, that’s about a week of natural mortality. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1316176992904138753?s=20
2/
“200,000 Covid deaths in the U.S.!”
Almost none of us know how many die of each risk each year.
But without knowing that, one is in great danger of having no sense of proportion. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1284261208170942464?s=20
“200,000 Covid deaths in the U.S.!”
Almost none of us know how many die of each risk each year.
But without knowing that, one is in great danger of having no sense of proportion. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1284261208170942464?s=20
3/
“1,000,000 Covid deaths worldwide!”
Covid is “targeting” the very old with comorbidities, most already near end of life. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1248622390193446912?s=20
“1,000,000 Covid deaths worldwide!”
Covid is “targeting” the very old with comorbidities, most already near end of life. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1248622390193446912?s=20
4/
“1,000,000 Covid deaths worldwide!”
In 2009, 151,700 - 575,400 people worldwide died from H1N1.
Good news: Lower mortality than flu or COVID19.
Bad news: 80% were <65 years of age !!
Which makes it MUCH WORSE!!
Yet none of us paid attention. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1304175344002490368?s=20
“1,000,000 Covid deaths worldwide!”
In 2009, 151,700 - 575,400 people worldwide died from H1N1.
Good news: Lower mortality than flu or COVID19.
Bad news: 80% were <65 years of age !!
Which makes it MUCH WORSE!!
Yet none of us paid attention. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1304175344002490368?s=20
5/
“1,000,000 Covid deaths worldwide!”
That’s probably qualitatively similar to flu, but counted fundamentally differently, favoring much higher numbers. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1315842003276619777?s=20
“1,000,000 Covid deaths worldwide!”
That’s probably qualitatively similar to flu, but counted fundamentally differently, favoring much higher numbers. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1315842003276619777?s=20
6/
“1,000,000 Covid deaths worldwide!”
Count with new methods, and when frightened, and you’ll get artifacts that inflate. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1314207891138600960?s=20
“1,000,000 Covid deaths worldwide!”
Count with new methods, and when frightened, and you’ll get artifacts that inflate. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1314207891138600960?s=20
7/
“200,000 Covid EXCESS deaths in the U.S.!”
Covid hit off-season, when deaths have usually subsided. Even a mild epidemic in summer would have huge excess deaths.
Issue is how many did Covid kill, period. Probably comparable to many flu seasons. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1300857529912750081?s=20
“200,000 Covid EXCESS deaths in the U.S.!”
Covid hit off-season, when deaths have usually subsided. Even a mild epidemic in summer would have huge excess deaths.
Issue is how many did Covid kill, period. Probably comparable to many flu seasons. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1300857529912750081?s=20
8/
“200,000 Covid EXCESS deaths in the U.S.!”
These last couple points concern the Rule of Thumb, one that any scientist that has dealt with real data should grasp. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1284915812772589571?s=20
“200,000 Covid EXCESS deaths in the U.S.!”
These last couple points concern the Rule of Thumb, one that any scientist that has dealt with real data should grasp. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1284915812772589571?s=20
9/
“200,000 Covid deaths in the U.S.!”
The infection fatality rate is in fact similar to that of flu.
But safer than flu if young. Like a bad flu or old / comorbidities.
https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1320051055904907266?s=20
“200,000 Covid deaths in the U.S.!”
The infection fatality rate is in fact similar to that of flu.
But safer than flu if young. Like a bad flu or old / comorbidities.
https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1320051055904907266?s=20
10/
200,000 Covid EXCESS deaths in the U.S.!”
Yet, there are now around 300,000 excess deaths.
The other 100,000 are due to lockdowns & other interventions.
These deaths are like ambulances running over civilians to get to the hospital more quickly. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1321141849181081600?s=20
200,000 Covid EXCESS deaths in the U.S.!”
Yet, there are now around 300,000 excess deaths.
The other 100,000 are due to lockdowns & other interventions.
These deaths are like ambulances running over civilians to get to the hospital more quickly. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1321141849181081600?s=20
11/
“200,000 Covid deaths in the U.S.!”
The implication of this is always that we should have done more interventions.
Yet, lockdowns have not lessened mortality. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1286418497011101697?s=20
“200,000 Covid deaths in the U.S.!”
The implication of this is always that we should have done more interventions.
Yet, lockdowns have not lessened mortality. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1286418497011101697?s=20
12/
“1,000,000 Covid deaths worldwide!”
Not only haven’t lockdowns helped on their own terms, but have caused massive short and long term damage worldwide.
These are cases of democide: havoc and deaths due to government. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1294285483426697218?s=20
“1,000,000 Covid deaths worldwide!”
Not only haven’t lockdowns helped on their own terms, but have caused massive short and long term damage worldwide.
These are cases of democide: havoc and deaths due to government. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1294285483426697218?s=20
13/
“200,000 Covid deaths in the U.S.!”
The other authoritarian implication is that we should have mask mandates.
Yet masks don’t stop viral aerosols, have many harms, and don’t make sense if without symptoms, where it is exceedingly rare to spread. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1313131335490428929?s=20
“200,000 Covid deaths in the U.S.!”
The other authoritarian implication is that we should have mask mandates.
Yet masks don’t stop viral aerosols, have many harms, and don’t make sense if without symptoms, where it is exceedingly rare to spread. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1313131335490428929?s=20
END/
Some of the origins of how folk became so single-minded. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1303164589002162176?s=20
Some of the origins of how folk became so single-minded. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1303164589002162176?s=20
