Shawney, you have NO clue about military dynamics. You spent YO days as partying in peace postings n later as ADC to Govnr. You have no idea of war fighting, ratios, tactics, op art. We are in far superior position to Pak + have an edge over China. I explain...

@KanwalSibal

1/n https://twitter.com/PravinSawhney/status/1317478049240117250

Pak has 19 Armd, Mech, Inf Divs plus FCNA plus 3 Arty Divs. Of these they need to keep atleast 4 Divs oriented towards Iran and another 2-3 for internal pacification including in Balochistan. The majority of their forces are in Pakjab -13 Divs. Pak is split East-West by

2/n

Indus. But Pakjab is split North West by Jhelum, Ravi, Chenab, Sutlej. Why is this important ?

Because we can trap majority of Pak Forces in Pakjab by smashing bridges on Pakjab rivers + hinder East West movement by smashing bridges on Indus

One look at a map shows this

3/n

I will come to ammunition states, arty, armour, morale later. I wanted to teach you how to read an Orbat and maps first

Now take Indian Orbat. We have 23 Armd, RAPID, Inf Divs against Pak + 3 Arty Divs + lots of indp armd bdes

So force correlation = 16 vs 26 in r favour

4/n

How do we deploy this? We hold them north of Cholistan , Pakjab where 13 of their 19 Divs against us are positioned, smash bridges as explqined above and build massive superiority in Bhawalpur area and south of that. We can and will smash into places like Rahimyarkhan,

5/n

Fort Abbas, Bhawalpur cutting Pak spine. This is not a pipe dream. This is inevitable cold logic given correlation of forces and terrain

I suspect you know this but are on Pak payroll and obfuscate facts

Anyhow let's talk arty, ammn. Pak has a decent amount of SP Arty

6/n

But where will they use it? Its all in Pakajb and we will block its movement down south as explained. In Pakjab we will take it out by IAF, missile strikes + own arty. SP arty works best in open terrain along with mech maneuver groups. That's where we will employ own SP Arty

7/n

We are rapidly building up own SP Arty so numbers gap with Pak is negligible now. On tube and rocket arty we have a distinct quality and nos advantage. Add our WLRs, ACCS which now is fully operational, we will bring overwhelming to bear at right time at required place

8/n

Note all of the above is for formations solely oriented to Pak and moving no formations deployed against China. Plus our entire armour and mech forces will come in play

Pak army has deep problems with ammunition and spares. But have a deeper problem of morale. Desertion is

9/n

on rise, officers are interested in (like you) and cornering corner plots. They are busy selling Papa John's pizza, sanitary napkins, cornflakes and their troops know that. Morale is rock bottom

Lets take IAF. IAF has a huge advantage over Pak even with sqn strength

10/n

down to 30 sqns. That's because Pak is in much worse shape. We have about 480 4, 4.5 Gen A/c - 270 Su 30s, 110 Mirages+Mig29, 110 Jaguars. Of these we need about 300 for China if hostilities start. China can barely bring 200-250 a/c against us due to high alti airfields

11/n

This has been explained in detail by me here to your friends at @globaltimesnews

12/n https://in.finance.yahoo.com/news/does-india-have-an-edge-over-chinas-military-check-this-out-114358283.html

So keeping 200 4, 4.5 Gen A/c plus our reliable Mig 21 Bisons we can achieve air dominance over Pak even if we have to handle China at same time. Plus IN 48 Mig 29 Ks will come into play. India will achieve air dominance over Pak. That is a certainty

IN will smash PN..

13/n

Naval disparity is so high that I won't even bother detailing it

Fact is that we have massive advantage against Pak catering for China at same time

I challenge you to contest any of the above with facts

@MjaVinod @LevinaNeythiri @bennedose @bhootnath @desertfox61I@sanjaysinha

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