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There are so many 99% tweets, but what does "99%" actually mean? It is believed that 99% will survive Covid.
Deep dive into death rate (= population fatality rate) from http://mortality.org
13 countries.
Thread
1/x
Deep dive into death rate (= population fatality rate) from http://mortality.org
13 countries.
Thread
1/x
2/x
To avoid cherry-picking data and since we are in the middle of 2020 lets compare 24 month periods.
Why 24 month instead of 12 month?
1. The longer the period, the fewer any possible fluctuations.
2. Avoiding noisy data
3. Reducing temporary influences
To avoid cherry-picking data and since we are in the middle of 2020 lets compare 24 month periods.
Why 24 month instead of 12 month?
1. The longer the period, the fewer any possible fluctuations.
2. Avoiding noisy data
3. Reducing temporary influences
3/x
All data: "All Cause" + population adjusted
but not age adjusted.
Sweden
All data: "All Cause" + population adjusted
but not age adjusted.
Sweden
4/x
Finland
Finland
5/x
Norway
Norway
6/x
Denmark
Denmark
7/x
USA
USA
8/x
England&Wales
England&Wales
9/x
Scotland
Scotland
10/x
Spain
Spain
11/x
France
France
12/x
Netherlands
Netherlands
13/x
Belgium
Belgium
14/x
Switzerland
Switzerland
15/x
Austria
Austria
16/x
Portugal
Portugal
17/x
Estonia
Estonia
18/x
Bulgaria
Bulgaria
19/x
Lativia
Lativia
20/x
Average 16 European countries.
Average 16 European countries.
21/21
Thread finished.
Conclusion:
PSR (Population survival rate) in all countries well above 99%.
Thread finished.
Conclusion:
PSR (Population survival rate) in all countries well above 99%.
