1/ Random thought: the current SPAC boom has accelerated so rapidly because PE/VC firms were/are in desperate need of a new method of exiting bad investments that they have been passing from one fund to another (increasing leverage each time) for ~15 years.
2/ PE funds have been generating (on paper) IRRs above their hurdle rates this way for years without adding any real value to their portfolio companies.
Once a company has been through an LBO, SBO, tertiary buyout and quaternary buyout, what are you left with?
Once a company has been through an LBO, SBO, tertiary buyout and quaternary buyout, what are you left with?
3/ A stripped down company with excessive leverage and little-to-no potential for real growth.
That makes traditional exit options (IPO or strategic buyout) basically impossible, especially at an IRR anywhere near what LPs are expecting.
That makes traditional exit options (IPO or strategic buyout) basically impossible, especially at an IRR anywhere near what LPs are expecting.
4/ So, GPs are jumping at the opportunity to merge their shitty portfolio companies into a SPAC. Then, they can pump the stock and promptly dump their stake on retail investors at an IRR well above their hurdle rate.
5/ The GP takes their 20% carry + fees and their LPs are happy enough to invest in the GP’s next fund. It’s a win-win for PE.
The losers in all of this? Retail investors, of course.
PE GPs to retail investors:
The losers in all of this? Retail investors, of course.
PE GPs to retail investors:
6/ Historically SPACs have mainly taken startups (& many total frauds) public. I think this new wave of SPACs will bring a variety of older, over-leveraged companies from vintage 2014 & earlier PE funds to market. They will be zombies posing as growth companies w/ a story to tell