Thinking a little more about #96L, the system currently over the Bahamas.

I think its intensity upon arrival on the Gulf Coast will depend largely on how long it has over water which in turn will depend largely on how much latitude it gains by tomorrow.

EPS firmly in the N camp

Looking at the system's steering pattern for tonight, I'm not sure I see much pulling the system north.

A shallow not-yet-developed vortex will be steered by low-level flow which in this case is mostly due east (environmentally).

So I think I lean a bit SW of most EPS members.

The NHC is also expecting #96L to move more west than northwest in the next 36 hours which leads to a wider window of opportunity for development between the #FLwx Keys and the #LAwx coastline.

I still think this has room to become a strong TS if all goes well (for the storm)