My premier league predictions for the 2020/21 premier league season, I’ve only got 140 characters🤪, so if you want a more analytical and statistical view of why I’ve put certain teams in certain positions
Hop in those dm’s or comment down below👇🏾
20th. Fulham
There’s an overall lack of quality and depth especially at cb
Struggle away from home
Home win percentage(65.2) away(34.7)
Goals per game: home (1.7) away (1.04)
Plus they’re too reliant on mitrovic for goals, and their expansive style is their Achilles heel
19th. West Brom
Despite securing key players in pereira and diangana, I fancy them to go down
Top scorers last season were Charlie Austin and H.Robson Kanu(10), both are over 30 and might not even be pl quality
Plus they’re terrible at defending set pieces ( 16/45 goals conceded)
18th. Crystal Palace
Lowest goals and xg in the league last season (31, 34.5)
Old squad( youngest player to play over a thousand minutes last season was jeff schlupp, he’s 27) and now the squads a year older.
Eze doesn’t have the output to improve them(0.3 G+A last season)
Bye pl
17th. Newcastle
From mbappe to callum Wilson
They were terrible last season, finishing rock bottom in understats xpoints model
Failed to realize joelinton wasn’t a target man and have signed someone who’s worse in the air
They’re new signings might just get them over the line
16th. Aston villa #AVFC
Tightened up after the restart, from facing over 18 shots per game to just under 10
Marty cash provides real dynamism from rb
Look set to hold on to grealish
Signed Ollie Watkins
They need a creative forward if they’re to finish higher
15th. Leeds #LUFC
Don’t overestimate them, they’ve lost Ben white and are still quite raw in terms of quality
Rodrigo is injury prone, not a goal scorer and used to a very passive style, if they sign De Paul they could finish higher
I expect them to start well and finish poorly
14th. Brighton #BHAFC
Improving under potter
Veltman, lamptey and lallana seem to be smart additions
But they’ve so far not brought in a clinical striker to ease maupay’s goal scoring burden
13th. West ham #WHUFC
Moyes kept them up again( with a bit of style this time), Antonio, soucek, Bowen and rice all flourishing in their roles, but they can’t rely on Antonio for a season(he’s 30 and injury prone)
They’ve so far not found a way to use haller, Anderson, fornals🤦🏾‍♂️
12th. Burnley #BFC
They’ll shithouse themselves to a solid 12th place finish
So far not lost any key players and Barnes would make a much needed return to partner Chris wood
A solid showing
11. Sheffield United #SHUFC
Their standards will drop, especially cause they’ve lost Henderson( post shot xg of +4.8) and replaced him with ramsdale( post shot xg of 0)
They’ll need to create a lot more chances and be more clinical
One to watch : Lys Mousset
10. Southampton #SaintsFC
I’m on the hassenhutl hype train, who isn’t?
They’ve done good and early business in Salisu and KWP
They’ll be ready to knock down some doors, Danny ings is phenomenal and Che Adams looks like he’s started to come good
A good year for saints
#signdaka
9. Everton #EVE
Made some good additions to the squad especially in midfield, still not convinced on their defense and on Pickford
Allan and gbamin add much needed steel, James adds creativity, and DCL and richarlison score the goals
Will just fall short of expectations
8. Leicester #LCFC
Despite struggling towards the end of last season, their metrics were quite strong (xG difference of +8 first half, +10 second half)
However they’ve lost the thrust that chilwell provided and they’ve not addressed their depth issues given they’re in Europe
7th. Wolves #Wolves
They've upgraded at lcb with marcal, will be interesting to see how they cope with the loss of Doherty, no European football is a plus and they have a plethora of attacking options in podence, jimenez and co.
If they can get Telles, it can only get better
6th. Arsenal #AFC
They've gotten some promising defenders(keyword: promising), Aubameyang is staying, although their underlying metrics haven't improved and they've gotten worse at set pieces, there's enough there to challenge and finally get into the top 6.
Aouar before partey
5th. Manchester United #MUFC
They're performing way above expected metrics would suggest, the tactial issues still remain and Bruno seems to have papered over the cracks a bit, so far they've not signed a cb and a dm, two pressing positions
ATM Don't feel vdb was a good signing
4th. Spurs #Spurs
Seem to have recruited sensibly with Doherty and Hojberg, however I don't feel they have the depth to get into the top 3, especially if they fail to get a backup for kane, Man united more likely to get into the top 3 than spurs
Mourinho is the X factor here
3rd. Chelsea #CFC
Chelsea have recruited heavily in the market, but its a massive job to break into the top 2, the new signings will need time to adapt and gel, worries are their defence, pressing strucuture and gk situation
Underlying metrics from last season were very good
Before the big one, let's talk about the golden boot
The main contenders should be kane, aubameyang, salah, werner and martial.
I expect Aubameyang to win it, arsenal's system is geared around him getting into shooting positions in his favorite zones, werner is the outside shout
2nd. Manchester City
It looks like they're about to shore up that defence with koulibaily, excellent signing.
But Aguero is in decline and I don't think jesus could handle that burden, they will just fall short of the eventual winners
1st. Liverpool
It's a big ask for mane, firmino and salah to maintain those levels for another year; a very congested one at that, but Liverpool might just clinch it, their game management is their biggest weapon, and if they end up signing Thiago, the league is as good as theirs
Retweets are highly appreciated, if you want a more detailed explanation of my analytical and statiscal views, just say so.
Can't wait for the new season to start
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