Update on my Election Matrix

Finished last night doing a"Best Case"scenario formula on if state poll errors are off by the same margins in 2020 as they were in 16(they all won't be,but this is a best case 4 Trump)

B: 298
T: 240

a very close election,look below 4 screen shots

Notes:

1- There are formulas in this so it is quickly editable now

2- Texas, Florida, Mich, & Minn are the only states within a point for either person

3- If Biden lost Florida, in this scenario, it would be a tie, where each state (from 2020's election) gets 1 vote...

from each "delegation" so to say... who wins house seats and where is very important in that situation.

4- this is assuming Biden loses both the KS and Main single EVs

5- This doesn't take it account at all Biden over preforming Hillary (between polling and final results)

6- Around 60 EV's are on the edge for Biden, and just Trump under preforming his 2016 numbers by around 1% leads to a

356 to 182 victory for Biden

7- If Trump out preforms just .5 He wins 285-253 with a tie in Michigan which decides the election (ties given to Trump)

#Election2020 #ElectionTwitter @ContentedIndie @LarrySabato @Politics_Polls @CautiousLefty @PpollingNumbers @USA_Polling