In polling of TX-21, TX-24, TX-17 and TX-31, we see @joebiden making significant gains over HRC and even over Beto. Clinton lost those districts 53-40. Beto lost them 50-48. Biden appears to be ahead 48-47.
It feels like Biden is going to make gains over both HRC and Beto in TX. Where does Trump make gains to offset? He's faring worse among whites and Latinos vs 2016 and also 2018. Can he make the electorate more non-college white and drive bigger margins in his counties?
Do Trump's strong counties have enough votes to hold off a Biden surge in the suburbs/cities? Does Trump stop or slow the erosion in suburban and exurban counties just enough to win by a similar Beto-Cruz margin of 200k votes? Where's the firewall? Seems fair to ask.
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