|| HELPFUL THREAD ON SEQUENCES/SERIES AND HOW IT HELPS YOU TO HOT TAEK IN FANTASY ||
If you read one thread from me all year, it should be this one. Put around 350 hours into this, using my Analytics Masters degree, Calc III classes from college, and a whole lot of code. (1/X)

Patrick Mahomes finished 2018 at the QB1 with 50 TDs. 2019 he had 26 TDs, a drop-off of 24 TDs. That means, using the theorem of sequences/series, that Mahomes will have only 2 passing TDs this year. Be careful and fade him HARD at his ADP.

Leonard Fournette's TD totals in his career: 10, 6, 3. A drop-off of 4 from Year1 to Year2, then a drop-off of 3 from Year2 to Year3. He likely has a drop-off of 2 TDs this year then, finishing with a grand total of 1. Fade him and thank me later.

Let's turn to Michael Thomas and why he deserves consideration at the 1.01. MT's receiving yards the past 4 yrs: 1137, 1245, 1405, 1725. Notice anything? This perfectly sets him up for the 1st 2000 RecYd season in 2020. Final stat line: 165 catches for 2045 yards

McCaffrey should be the 1.01, I was messing around about MT, who should be the 1.02. CMC has increased his TotYds by an average of 653 each yr. With 2392 TotYds in 2019, I project his floor to be around 3,045 total yards in 2020. If you get the 1.01, you're winning your league

Lotta debate about who the CHI QB will be. I'm here to argue for Mitch. Foles' TD passes the last 5 yrs: 7, 3, 5, 7, 3. Exactly, he's getting 5 TD passes this season. You're welcome for helping you understand who to take in that CHI QB room.

Eric Ebron in his 1 year with a new team (outside the team that drafted him) had this stat line: 66-750-13. That's right, Ebron will be a high-end TE1 this year, as it's his 1st year w/ a new team (outside the team that drafted him). Steelers offense looking sharp this year.

Ronald Jones truthers his 10.0 Yds per Rec in 2019, though it was only 4.7 in 2018. 4.7 to 10 is an increase of 2.13x. If we casually project his YPR floor in 2020, 2.13*10 = 21.3 YPR in 2020. RoJo season is here baby! With a slight Rec bump to 45, that's over 950 RecYds!

Anyone else on FF Twitter a big sequences/series guy/girl? Feel free to add your own in the comments, & plz donate to my non-existent Patreon if you found this useful. My learning R coding course w/ data is out now! Click the link in my bio if you want to study data like I can

@MyFantasyLeague Interested in retweeting my analytics-based hot taeks?!
Some accts that would benefit from knowing this info: @aaronstew09 @valuedraftpicks @jmthrivept @ClutchFantasy @MatthewBerryTMR @Michael_Fabiano @realDonaldTrump (Trump plays FF, right?!)