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(big important thread) The HWFO Civil War Cycle begins with a historical frequency analysis of the chance over a given lifetime of US civil war. Spoiler, it's way bigger than you think. (this also appeared on @RecoilMag )
1/ https://medium.com/s/story/the-surprisingly-solid-mathematical-case-of-the-tin-foil-hat-gun-prepper-15fce7d10437
1/ https://medium.com/s/story/the-surprisingly-solid-mathematical-case-of-the-tin-foil-hat-gun-prepper-15fce7d10437
In 2018, we further drilled down the tribalist aspect of it and peeled apart the idea that in civil wars, the military becomes its own actor. We did game theory on how to avoid it. Nobody is following the plan, lol.
2/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/game-theory-on-the-second-civil-war-7ac210a2ec3a
2/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/game-theory-on-the-second-civil-war-7ac210a2ec3a
The temperature on this was hotter than a lot of people realized two years ago, even before the midterms. The graphs in this article are alarming, and prophetic. It suuuucks being right about this stuff.
3/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/the-violence-will-increase-no-matter-who-wins-eab41414b6d6
3/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/the-violence-will-increase-no-matter-who-wins-eab41414b6d6
It's important to understand where this shit flows from. It's not that Americans can't get along, it's that they're literally building their own pocket realities in which their neighbors are evil for inhabiting a different pocket reality.
4/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/facebook-is-shiris-scissor-e78413457d2c
4/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/facebook-is-shiris-scissor-e78413457d2c
These pocket realities are built on purpose for profit.
5/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/the-media-engine-of-chaos-c3874d4bac10
5/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/the-media-engine-of-chaos-c3874d4bac10
And the intersection of the pocket reality engine and the social media dopamine fix and the Shiri's Scissor mechanic is almost tailor built to drive people to hate and kill each other.
6/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/the-social-media-catastrophe-e775ab0a725b
6/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/the-social-media-catastrophe-e775ab0a725b
...which sounds insane. But the problem with sanity is that sanity is literally culturally relative. Any time any society is driven into echo chambers like this, that's mass insanity by the literal definition of insanity.
7/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/not-your-imagination-society-is-in-fact-going-insane-and-i-can-prove-it-9a8136c544c1
7/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/not-your-imagination-society-is-in-fact-going-insane-and-i-can-prove-it-9a8136c544c1
And when you're a media enterprise, you can't back away from peddling insanity-creation-stuff because if you do you'd lose market share to someone who continued to do so. So it's a trap with no exit.
8/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/i-just-made-100-off-some-dead-kids-and-thats-the-problem-8416e4194f7e
8/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/i-just-made-100-off-some-dead-kids-and-thats-the-problem-8416e4194f7e
The balloon was rigged to pop in probably three or four years, but our response to Covid blew a bunch of air into it. Thankfully we've managed to avoid some of the really nasty stuff that could have popped it over the summer. At least we have meat.
9/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/the-covid-19-boogaloo-opus-51b1c1b860cd
9/ https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/the-covid-19-boogaloo-opus-51b1c1b860cd
And if you put all that together, things look very bad. Seems to me the shit is going to hit the fan in December no matter what. I really hope I'm wrong about this. KEEP YOUR HEAD LOW.
/fin https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/dont-read-this-5cc410b8e21b
/fin https://medium.com/handwaving-freakoutery/dont-read-this-5cc410b8e21b
