Read on Twitter
Thanks @gummibear737 for explaining "regional mystery & pre-existing immunity" pattern.
Maybe it explains why Melbourne (Vic) has seen more cases compared to other parts of Australia.
Comparing Victoria to Western Australia:
Population approx. VIC 2.5x WA.
1/9 https://twitter.com/gummibear737/status/1298246365366169602
Maybe it explains why Melbourne (Vic) has seen more cases compared to other parts of Australia.
Comparing Victoria to Western Australia:
Population approx. VIC 2.5x WA.
1/9 https://twitter.com/gummibear737/status/1298246365366169602
2/9
I think Western Australia haven't had big problems handling Covid yet but Influenza 2019 looks severe.
2020 Influenza (purple) almost not noticeable, hence I assume sentinel report (next graph
) includes Covid.
I think Western Australia haven't had big problems handling Covid yet but Influenza 2019 looks severe.
2020 Influenza (purple) almost not noticeable, hence I assume sentinel report (next graph
) includes Covid.
3/9
This graph is about "ILI-like" illnesses.
There are almost zero confirmed Influenza cases for Western Australia in 2020.
This graph includes most likely Covid as well as other viruses (rhino and so).
Compared to 2019 not a big drama.
This graph is about "ILI-like" illnesses.
There are almost zero confirmed Influenza cases for Western Australia in 2020.
This graph includes most likely Covid as well as other viruses (rhino and so).
Compared to 2019 not a big drama.
4/9
Now Victoria.
Looks like flu season 2017 was more severe than 2019.
Also:
"The number of notified cases of laboratory confirmed influenza is 91% lower than the number notified by the same time in 2019."
Now Victoria.
Looks like flu season 2017 was more severe than 2019.
Also:
"The number of notified cases of laboratory confirmed influenza is 91% lower than the number notified by the same time in 2019."
5/9
End of August 80% of all confirmed Covid cases throghout the country were reported in Victoria.
This proportion matches well with according hospitalisations.
End of August 80% of all confirmed Covid cases throghout the country were reported in Victoria.
This proportion matches well with according hospitalisations.
6/9
Looking at the overall Australian hospitalisation it's still well balanced compared to previous years.
Is it because of "regional mystery" in terms of
pre-existing immunity?
"Picture in Picture"
Looking at the overall Australian hospitalisation it's still well balanced compared to previous years.
Is it because of "regional mystery" in terms of
pre-existing immunity?
"Picture in Picture"
7/9
Source "Influenza hospitalisations"
https://www1.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/cda-surveil-ozflu-flucurr.htm#current
Source "Influenza hospitalisations"
https://www1.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/cda-surveil-ozflu-flucurr.htm#current
8/9
While Victoria has 80% of Australia's Covid Cases it's still worth to compare Covid cases vs. ILI cases previous years (in terms of seasonality?).
commulative Covid cases today: 25.923
"Picture in Picture" again
While Victoria has 80% of Australia's Covid Cases it's still worth to compare Covid cases vs. ILI cases previous years (in terms of seasonality?).
commulative Covid cases today: 25.923
"Picture in Picture" again
9/9
Sources
Sources
