Read on Twitter
I've made an important observation that strongly supports a pre-existing immunity based model for C19
@MLevitt_NP2013 agrees
The strong correlation between winter travel patterns in this area that confer nationwide "Asian/Oceana Immunity"
I use China as an example
1
@MLevitt_NP2013 agrees
The strong correlation between winter travel patterns in this area that confer nationwide "Asian/Oceana Immunity"
I use China as an example
1
Before you get conspiratorial, the same correlation exists for the other countries so they are all visiting each other
In fact, 75% of all international tourism is regional
So the question is, how are these countries importing and exporting immunity among themselves?
2
In fact, 75% of all international tourism is regional
So the question is, how are these countries importing and exporting immunity among themselves?
2
There is no way these results are coincidental or explainable by the current "Those countries know how to socially distance and wear masks" theory everyone supports
Does anybody believe that all the countries that know how to socially distance are all in the same region?
3
Does anybody believe that all the countries that know how to socially distance are all in the same region?
3
The only model that can explain this correlation is T-Cell immunity
We get immunity from exposure to other common coronaviruses
There's also support for an unnoticed coronavirus providing cross-immunity to SARS-CoV-2 in circulation primarily in Asia
4 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2550-z?flip=true
We get immunity from exposure to other common coronaviruses
There's also support for an unnoticed coronavirus providing cross-immunity to SARS-CoV-2 in circulation primarily in Asia
4 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2550-z?flip=true
Before I explain the model I need to define two terms: Infected + Immune - commonly used but never defined
What does it mean to be infected? The only definition for this is a clinical presentation or a PCR test
PCR only tells us that there is either live or dead virus in you
5
What does it mean to be infected? The only definition for this is a clinical presentation or a PCR test
PCR only tells us that there is either live or dead virus in you
5
What exactly does immunity mean?
Does the virus bounce off of you? Does it mean you can contract the virus and can spread?
I define "effective immunity" as meaning you can get "infected" with the virus and may or may not pass it on
Only some develop testable ABs
6
Does the virus bounce off of you? Does it mean you can contract the virus and can spread?
I define "effective immunity" as meaning you can get "infected" with the virus and may or may not pass it on
Only some develop testable ABs
6
What does this model say?
It's like an iceberg
The vast majority of the population is "effectively immune"
to SARS-CoV-2 meaning, they can get infected but are asymptomatic- they may or not spread -we have a hard time measuring them because many don't develop AB or test PCR+
7
It's like an iceberg
The vast majority of the population is "effectively immune"
to SARS-CoV-2 meaning, they can get infected but are asymptomatic- they may or not spread -we have a hard time measuring them because many don't develop AB or test PCR+
7
Children are more likely to be asymptomatic which is why they are not spreading the disease
The mistake being made is that they treat being PCR positive as having COVID19
Wrong, PCR positive means you've been exposed to SARS-CoV-2
Measuring below the waterline is pointless
8
The mistake being made is that they treat being PCR positive as having COVID19
Wrong, PCR positive means you've been exposed to SARS-CoV-2
Measuring below the waterline is pointless
8
The tip of the iceberg are cases that proceed to symptoms of the disease known as COVID19
PCR and case counts cannot distinguish between SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID19
AB testing does not accurately capture the number of people exposed
Only death really say anything
9
PCR and case counts cannot distinguish between SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID19
AB testing does not accurately capture the number of people exposed
Only death really say anything
9
So a regional "mystery" coronavirus would perfectly explain the deaths/millions chart
Countries with more recently infected populations have more people who are effectively immune
It also explains why lockdowns increase COVID19 deaths
Occum's Razor wins again
10
Countries with more recently infected populations have more people who are effectively immune
It also explains why lockdowns increase COVID19 deaths
Occum's Razor wins again
10
Want more proof? Look at France, Spain where cases are rising but there are no deaths!
This also means that the infection fatality rate (IFR) will never be known (we can't accurately measure the submerged iceberg), but it's much lower than what we have been able to calculate
11
This also means that the infection fatality rate (IFR) will never be known (we can't accurately measure the submerged iceberg), but it's much lower than what we have been able to calculate
11
