Armstrong ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ vs Saint Maximin ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท

Two of the most owned assets in FPL this season are these two 5.5 midfielders.

Both could offer great value, below are some stats on who I would prefer out of the two of them and why.

Stats from @FFH_HQ

Enjoy and happy tinkering #FPL
Just some key stats to start off the thread....

Total points scored this season
Armstrong ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: 98
Saint-Maximin ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: 92

Average points per appearance
๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: 3.27
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: 3.54

Games played this season
๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: 30 appearances with 19 starts
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: 26 appearances with 23 starts
Looking now at where the key stats are coming from in the below graphic

Armstrong has picked up 5 goals and 4 assists with Saint Maximin getting 3 goals and 5 assists.

Armstrong has greatly outperformed his expected in comparison to Saint-Maximin.
If we look at expected stats.

Expected points for the season
๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: 102.3
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: 113.3

Expected points per appearance
๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: 3.4
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: 4.4

We can see Saint-Maximin has greatly underperformed his stats over the cause of the season. On paper is a better asset
However. If we look at the same key stats but since GW30 restart.

Total points scored
Armstrong ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: 40
Saint-Maximin ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: 37

Average points per appearance
๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: 4.44
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: 4.62

Games played this season
๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: 9 appearances with 7 starts
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: 8 appearances with 8 starts
If we again look at the expected stats but from GW30-38.

Expected points.
๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: 34.6
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: 37.0

Expected points per appearance
๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: 3.8
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: 4.6

Goal Involvement
๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ: 31%
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท: 31%

Once again Saint-Maximin is underperforming his expected points.
The Final aspect worth considering are the fixtures over the first 8.

Southampton ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ have an average difficulty rating of 2.5

Newcastle ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท have an average difficulty rating of 2.75

Southampton have slightly more favourable fixtures but little difference.
So what does this all mean in FPL?

๐Ÿ”˜ Armstrong has continuously overperformed his expected.

๐Ÿ”˜ Armstrong has a much better team around him.

๐Ÿ”˜ Saint-Maximin is more nailed than Armstrong when fixtures are congested.

Overall I favour Armstrong ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟbetween the two of them ๐Ÿ‘
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