We've probably passed through peak institutional X for a lot of things. I doubt the US federal government is ever going to be domestically stronger than it was in Feb 2020.

But I'd like to focus on Peak Public School for this thread, or the future of Homeschooling

Right now, as a parent who has to evaluate homeschooling I see three problems.

Finding/entering a homeschooling Pod
Selecting a curricula that suits my child
Tracking her educational attainment through time

All these things exist today across hundreds of resources, fractured

The Pod challenge can be solved with a combination of geography and curricula module. eg. I select the next module I'd like my kid to participate in and then use that to find a local Pod of her peers.

Modules would need to be available through some kind of emergent marketplace

Right now education is gated based on scarcity of information which doesn't exist in the digital age.

The gate of the future will be participatory in nature, the How not What.

There are 4 tiers: individual virtual, parent 1:1, tutor/parent directed pods, and private tutors

educational modules would be broken roughly down into a subject x developmental level x affinity.

Example Intermediate Ocean Mathematics might be math for 9-12 year olds taught through an Ocean theme.

The core basics would be the same from virtual through private tutor

The How would change based on the tier. Pricing would probably be something like

$ Virtual
$$ Parent 1:1
$$$ Parent/Tutor Directed Pod
$$$$ Private Tutor

Virtual ~ $400/year for 8 modules, $40 to the creator who would be available virtually for parents 1-3 hours

Parent 1:1 would be more expensive. While the curricula might be the same as virtual, it would consolidate over time, the parent would actually be paying for a coach to share with them best practices based on their personal and their child's teaching/learning graph. $100/module

The tutor directed pods is where you get into a local specialist who leads a group of children through a series of group/in person activities to teach the module. eg. visit the aquarium. This is more expensive because the person needs to be vetted on the marketplace.

Vetting is much more complicated than driving for Uber/Lyft. Future educational attainment and retainment of former students would drive this person's credibility score. That credibility score and availability would drive their in-person tutor cost.

Probably with tutors, centers of excellence emerge and so there is a waiting list to get into those "pods"

1:1 private tutor looks something more like Ad Astra or many of the extremely expensive alternative private schools that have been coming online.

You might pay someone $X0k to design your child's education and then a series of in person tutors on the order of $2-5 for 4-8 week modules. The bias here is probably going to be towards older children. Not much need for specialization or variation in younger children.

The key to bootstrapping a marketplace is framing everything from the perspective of parental involvement. To date, all the online education resources are for self-directed learning. They mostly suck because they gate based on knowledge scarcity rather than participation format

Many of these problems are getting solved rapidly but I still don't see a master skill tree/chart of what my child "should/could" learn throughout their entire educational career. Within 10 years this will be incredibly mature.

Don't worry there will still be government daycare

The last piece is a coherent way to map and direct my child's education graph through time. I think making this simple and easy, along with reducing friction for finding a curricula and forming a pod is the value the marketplace provides. There can and should be multiple of these