18/ I understand this seems confusing, so I'll simplify it in this way: when Manafort joins Trump's campaign, the Kremlin hacking campaign is well underway and the propaganda campaign is just starting up. The Kremlin *does not need Trump campaign assistance for these operations*.
19/ What the Kremlin *does* need is for its efforts to be effective. And to do that, it must *coordinate* with the Trump campaign via intermediaries, and must ensure that the campaign is *colluding* with Kremlin operations by acting in a way mutually beneficial to its operations.
20/ The Kremlin has regular dealings with the UAE, particularly through Nader. It connected with Flynn in 2015, who was—and in April 2016 still *is*—trying to bring Russia, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Israel together on an energy deal. It has an agent—Manafort—in Trump's campaign.
21/ For the Kremlin to ensure it is coordinating and colluding with the Trump campaign, it can and will work directly through the campaign—the Putin-Deripaska-Kilimnik-Manafort-Trump pipeline—but also needs to use Nader to work through the UAE and Israel (Nader knows Netanyahu).
22/ So back to the main narrative, now. As Psy-Group is refining its pitch to the Trump campaign in spring 2016, the man who will ultimately push the campaign to work with Psy-Group—Erik Prince—is creating and overseeing lines of communication between the UAE, Russia, and Israel.
23/ Psy-Group is offering the Trump campaign, in April 2016, a "two-plan package": an RNC op to sway delegates toward Trump, and a plan to get dirt on Clinton and her team. Manafort doesn't have the money he needs to fund the plans—and soon decides the RNC op isn't needed at all.
24/ Psy-Group's cyber-op offer(s) languish in April, May, June and July 2016 because Trump doesn't want to spend his own money like he promised; Manafort is still building his power in the campaign; the focus is on the RNC (not the general) and the Trump campaign is disorganized.
25/ As soon as Donald Trump receives the 2016 GOP presidential nomination at the RNC, however, Erik Prince (🇦🇪🇺🇸), Psy-Group chief Joel Zamel (🇮🇱), and George Nader (🇦🇪🇷🇺🇮🇱🇺🇸) score a meeting with Don Jr. (🇺🇸) at Trump Tower to pitch a cyber-intelligence campaign to Trump's team.
26/ Per the SSCI, at this historic meeting in the first week of August 2016, Psy-Group has no more reason to pitch an RNC plan—as the RNC is now over—and the "Clinton dirt" plan is now (a bit mysteriously) seen as obviated, i.e. redundant, perhaps due to Russia's hack of the DNC.
27/ But here's where I can start to blow aside the fog of mystery. Per the SSCI Report, Joel Zamel has three *key clients* in August 2016, besides the client (Trump) he's seeking: Erik Prince; Putin agent Deripaska; and Trump business associate and Putin agent Dmitry Rybolovlev.
28/ So given that the Kremlin was working hard to access and share "Clinton dirt" in June 2016—witness its meeting with Manafort, Trump Jr., and the Trump campaign's top Israel and UAE liaison, *Kushner*, at Trump Tower; witness also the DNC hack—Zamel knew that op wasn't needed.
29/ So what Zamel, Prince, and Nader pitch to Don Jr. instead is a "3-pronged" voter suppression cyber-campaign focused on the following groups (remember these): "minority communities, suburban female voters, and undecided voters." That's the UAE-Israel pitch to Trump's campaign.
30/ Basic math confirms the cost of the Israel-UAE plan pitched by Zamel, Prince, and Nader to Don Jr. in August 2016 would've been about $2 million. Why? If the earlier proposal—for 2 ops—was $4 to $8 million, just one op would cost $2 to $4 million. But actually less than that.
31/ The Psy-Group campaign Zamel, Prince, and Nader—all of whom deal extensively with Russia—are pitching Trump's campaign would more likely cost $2 million than $3-4 million because it's now August—and the original pitch was in *April*. A plan that costs $4 million in April...
32/ ...when the election is 7 months away, should cost far less in August, when the election is 3 months away and the op—which ultimately comes to involve 50+ people—will have to be run for a far shorter time. Of course *now*, post-RNC, is when the campaign really *wants* the op.
33/ Here's where the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence made its key *error*, which this thread rectifies—changing our understanding of Trump-Russia collusion to recognize it as quadrilateral Trump-Russia-Israel-UAE collusion. And it can only be fully understood in this way.
34/ The SSCI *wrongly* concludes that Zamel *never ran the $2 million op* for the Trump campaign—which is good news for Trump, as such a campaign would have been illegal collusion between Trump and... well, *three* nations: Israel, the UAE, and Russia.

I'll explain why that is.
35/ Israeli PM Netanyahu's agent acted as intermediary to bring the Israeli Psy-Group to Trump; Psy-Group—linked to Deripaska—was offering an op that dovetailed with the Kremlin interference its client was involved with; and the UAE offered to *pay for* Psy-Group's illegal work.
36/ That's right: at the August 2016 Trump Tower meeting, 3 key things happen that, when you understand them—and one other fact I reveal here—you understand why the SSCI Report is wrong on its most critical point. Here are the 3 key things the Report says happened at Trump Tower:
37/

1⃣ Zamel (🇮🇱) asks Don Jr. (🇺🇸) if Nader (🇦🇪) can pay for the op.
2⃣ Zamel asks Don Jr. if the op is a "conflict" for the Trump campaign.
3⃣ Zamel asks Don Jr. if the op as he has described it—remember the "3 prongs"—"conflicts" with what the Trump campaign is doing itself.
38/ Don Jr.'s answers—per the SSCI:

1⃣ It's fine for Nader (🇦🇪 agent) to pay for the op.
2⃣ The campaign has no objection to it—in answer to Zamel's coded "Is this a 'conflict' for you?" (an opportunity for Don to nix it).
3⃣ What you're doing *isn't* what the campaign is doing.
39/ The NYT says that Don Jr. responded "approvingly" to the Israeli-UAE pitch—a pitch Proof of Conspiracy reports, with full sourcing, dovetailed with the Kremlin election-interference campaign run by the boss of Psy-Group's client Deripaska—and the SSCI confirms he greenlit it.
40/ But none of this matters if the op never ran.

The SSCI says it couldn't find evidence it ran.

But it *did* run—indeed, all the evidence confirms that it ran. That evidence was missed by the SSCI.

So this, now, in the next ten tweets, is the final chapter of this narrative.
41/ In October 2016, an anonymous high-level official with the Trump campaign revealed to US media that the Trump campaign was running "three" cyber-operations described as "voter suppression" efforts. And who was this 3-pronged cyber-operation targeting?

I think you can guess.
42/ That's right: the Trump campaign—via an anonymous official—revealed to media pre-election that its three-pronged voter-suppression cyber-operation was targeting "black voters," "young women," and "[undecided] white liberals." Here's one story on this: https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/303034-trump-aide-we-have-three-major-voter-suppression
43/ But wait! you might say. How do we know that *this* campaign was the Russia-dovetailing, Israeli-run, Emirati-funded $2 million campaign pitched to (and *approved*) by Don Jr. in August 2016?

Well, do you know how much Nader paid Zamel right after the election?

$2 million.
44/ But remember, too, that the SSCI Report has Don Jr. telling Zamel *directly* that a 3-pronged operation of the sort Zamel described *would not conflict* with anything being done by the Trump campaign. So that leaves only two options for the quadrilateral collusion narrative:
45/

1⃣ The campaign had *no plans* for a 3-pronged cyber op of the sort Zamel described. The campaign revealed in October *was* Zamel's campaign—paid for by Nader, greenlit by Don.
2⃣ Don knew the campaign *was* running such an op, and greenlit Zamel *doing the same* to assist.
46/ Either situation is a federal crime—and *collusion*. Especially as Trump adviser Prince coordinated it, Nader immediately thereafter *became* a Trump adviser for the last 90 days of the campaign, and per Proof of Conspiracy Zamel *told Nader he ran the campaign pre-election*.
47/ But there's so much more. The SSCI Report describes Zamel running—immediately after the election—what we would deem a "dummy operation" for Nader: a virtually-no-effort PowerPoint presentation that was clearly a pretext for Nader to pay him $2 million for the pre-election op.
48/ Trump's campaign plane secretly "meets" Psy-Group client (and Putin ally) Rybolovlev *twice* in the 10 days pre-election. Trump adviser Stone—who spoke to Manafort, Gates and Prince 180+ times in April/May 2016—ends up hounding the Israelis about an election-interference op.
49/ Stone was in touch with Kremlin cutout WikiLeaks *and* the Israelis—so, both sides of *two* operations intended to dovetail. Stone even gets livid when the Israelis bring a "lieutenant general" to a meeting because the campaign (Flynn) is supposed to be *kept out of this*.
You can follow @SethAbramson.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled:

By continuing to use the site, you are consenting to the use of cookies as explained in our Cookie Policy to improve your experience.