Read on Twitter
Poll results and a thread 
on the outlier: RICHARLISON.
I was not able to include Mitro in my Twitter poll. You can see from the image of a poll I ran in @GCFT and @ICFT that Mitrovic takes many votes from Antonio and a few from Jimenez.
#FPL
#FPLCommunity https://twitter.com/FPLLens/status/1295577841963212801
on the outlier: RICHARLISON.I was not able to include Mitro in my Twitter poll. You can see from the image of a poll I ran in @GCFT and @ICFT that Mitrovic takes many votes from Antonio and a few from Jimenez.
#FPL
#FPLCommunity https://twitter.com/FPLLens/status/1295577841963212801
I can still hear the Twitter laughter when it was reported that Barcelona were interested in the former Watford, and current Everton, talisman.
Perhaps it's time for us to see what Barca sees.
I contend that Richarlison is who you want him to be.
Unless you change your lens.
Perhaps it's time for us to see what Barca sees.
I contend that Richarlison is who you want him to be.
Unless you change your lens.
SEASON STATS
Taken from @FFScout members section w/ permission & appreciation.
20-21 Price: 8.0M
FPL Points: 165
G: 13
xG: 9.07
FPL A: 5
xA: 3.73
Big Chances Created (BCC): 13
KP: 33
FPL Goal Involvement (GI): 46%
Not much notable here on surface.
Taken from @FFScout members section w/ permission & appreciation.
20-21 Price: 8.0M
FPL Points: 165
G: 13
xG: 9.07
FPL A: 5
xA: 3.73
Big Chances Created (BCC): 13
KP: 33
FPL Goal Involvement (GI): 46%
Not much notable here on surface.
RECENCY BIAS
Memory is a funny thing. Thinking back on last season, Richarlison seems quite disappointing. Here's why.
Stats 30+ to 38+:
FPL Points: 32, 3.5/gm
G: 3
xG: 1.33
FPL A: 0
xA: 0.36
BCC: 1
KP: 1
FPL GI: 50%
Touch heatmap attached.
Memory is a funny thing. Thinking back on last season, Richarlison seems quite disappointing. Here's why.
Stats 30+ to 38+:
FPL Points: 32, 3.5/gm
G: 3
xG: 1.33
FPL A: 0
xA: 0.36
BCC: 1
KP: 1
FPL GI: 50%
Touch heatmap attached.
MEMORIES LOST IN TIME
Now let's brush back the cobwebs and look at stats prior to lockdown.
Stats 1 to 29:
FPL Points: 133, 4.93/gm
G: 10
xG: 8.83
FPL A: 5
xA: 3.37
BCC: 12
KP: 32
FPL GI: 46%
Touch heatmap attached.
Now let's brush back the cobwebs and look at stats prior to lockdown.
Stats 1 to 29:
FPL Points: 133, 4.93/gm
G: 10
xG: 8.83
FPL A: 5
xA: 3.37
BCC: 12
KP: 32
FPL GI: 46%
Touch heatmap attached.
ANALYSIS
3 standouts:
1. Only 1 key pass in 9 games after restart, while averaging more than 1 KP PER GAME prior to lockdown.
2. Richarlison went from being omnipresent in attack to being stuck on the left.
3. FPL GI actually INCREASED after restart!
3 standouts:
1. Only 1 key pass in 9 games after restart, while averaging more than 1 KP PER GAME prior to lockdown.
2. Richarlison went from being omnipresent in attack to being stuck on the left.
3. FPL GI actually INCREASED after restart!
What if...
The dip in team form, and limited positioning post restart tanked Rich's stats, but what if lockdown would not have caused such a change in form?
Everton is being judged on post lockdown stats, which gives us a good price point. What can we expect w/o interruption?
The dip in team form, and limited positioning post restart tanked Rich's stats, but what if lockdown would not have caused such a change in form?
Everton is being judged on post lockdown stats, which gives us a good price point. What can we expect w/o interruption?
FAKE STATS
If we take Richarlison's stats from GW1 to GW29, and extrapolate them out to 38 weeks, I believe it will give us a more accurate representation of what to expect for next season than looking at an aberrant dip in team form in extraordinary circumstances.
If we take Richarlison's stats from GW1 to GW29, and extrapolate them out to 38 weeks, I believe it will give us a more accurate representation of what to expect for next season than looking at an aberrant dip in team form in extraordinary circumstances.
GWs 1-29 extrapolated over 38 GWs.
FPL Points: 174
G: 13
xG: 11.57
FPL A: 6.55
xA: 4.42
BCC: 15.72
KP: 41.93
With these numbers he surely would have been priced 0.5 more as he is approaching Jimenez level stats. Now include the higher FPL GI of 50%.
FPL Points: 174
G: 13
xG: 11.57
FPL A: 6.55
xA: 4.42
BCC: 15.72
KP: 41.93
With these numbers he surely would have been priced 0.5 more as he is approaching Jimenez level stats. Now include the higher FPL GI of 50%.
GRAVY
Adding gravy to the feast, I expect to see Richarlison continue his improvement in successful aerial duels. 31% in 18-19, 39% in 19-20, creep into low 40s perhaps next season.
More gravy coming in creative potential if Doucoure rumors hold true.
Adding gravy to the feast, I expect to see Richarlison continue his improvement in successful aerial duels. 31% in 18-19, 39% in 19-20, creep into low 40s perhaps next season.
More gravy coming in creative potential if Doucoure rumors hold true.
NARRATIVE
Here is how Ancelotti sees Richarlison.
“I think he’s a player you cannot put a target on. He’s a fantastic player. Of course, 20 goals is the minimum, but I expect more from him,”
Good stats
Rarely seen versatility
Ongoing development under Ancelotti
Doucoure
£8.0M
Here is how Ancelotti sees Richarlison.
“I think he’s a player you cannot put a target on. He’s a fantastic player. Of course, 20 goals is the minimum, but I expect more from him,”
Good stats
Rarely seen versatility
Ongoing development under Ancelotti
Doucoure
£8.0M
THANKS
I appreciate you taking the time to read this too-long thread on Richarlison. Thanks to the 500+ people that voted and inspired me to explore the less appreciated lens here for you all.
If this was useful, please share so others may also benefit.
#FPLCommunity
#FPL
I appreciate you taking the time to read this too-long thread on Richarlison. Thanks to the 500+ people that voted and inspired me to explore the less appreciated lens here for you all.
If this was useful, please share so others may also benefit.
#FPLCommunity
#FPL
