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More on Russia's attitude towards #Belarus:
1. #Russia doesn't lose hope of saving #Lukashenka.
2. Military intervention to defend the regime is too risky, as a) Belarusians against b) negative reaction of part of Russian society c) possible Western sanctions.
1. #Russia doesn't lose hope of saving #Lukashenka.
2. Military intervention to defend the regime is too risky, as a) Belarusians against b) negative reaction of part of Russian society c) possible Western sanctions.
3. Western elite's fear that "Russian troops will enter" facilitates the implementation of Russia's maximum plan.
4. Saved Lukashenka would be very weak & therefore at the Kremlin's mercy.
5. If Russia decides that Lukashenka is lost, plan B will be activated (already prepared)
4. Saved Lukashenka would be very weak & therefore at the Kremlin's mercy.
5. If Russia decides that Lukashenka is lost, plan B will be activated (already prepared)
6. The key for Russia is to ensure that its interests are protected in post-Lukashenka period. Russia's extensive influence in present ruling elite makes it possible.
7. Anyway,all depends on determination of the society, which already shows that it shouldn't be underestimated.
7. Anyway,all depends on determination of the society, which already shows that it shouldn't be underestimated.
