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ThreadTaking a quick look at some of the xG stats of the newly promoted teams and whether they should inform our thinking on selecting their players
Leeds 
GF avg H - 1.74
GF avg A - 1.61
XG H - 2.21 (U/P 0.47)
XG A - 2.06 (U/P 0.45)
GA H- 0.61
GA A- 0.91
XGA H - 0.94 (O/P 0.33)
XGA A - 1.21 (O/P 0.3)
Clean Sheets H 57%
Clean Sheets A 39%
Avg Possession 52%
GF avg H - 1.74
GF avg A - 1.61
XG H - 2.21 (U/P 0.47)
XG A - 2.06 (U/P 0.45)
GA H- 0.61
GA A- 0.91
XGA H - 0.94 (O/P 0.33)
XGA A - 1.21 (O/P 0.3)
Clean Sheets H 57%
Clean Sheets A 39%
Avg Possession 52%
Leeds under-performed their xG by an avg of 0.46 goals a game in 19/20. Put another way, they scored 78% of their xG.
Although clearly room for improvement, against meaner defences, an upgrade on Patrick Bamford is surely a must if they are to perform to their capabilities
Although clearly room for improvement, against meaner defences, an upgrade on Patrick Bamford is surely a must if they are to perform to their capabilities
West Brom 
GF avg H - 1.91
GF avg A - 1.43
XG H – 2.05 (U/P 0.14)
XG A – 1.72 (U/P 0.29)
GA avg H - 1.17
GA avg A - 0.78
XGA H – 1.19 (O/P 0.02)
XGA A - 1.31 (O/P 0.53)
Clean Sheets H 22%
Clean Sheets A 39%
Avg Possession 47%
GF avg H - 1.91
GF avg A - 1.43
XG H – 2.05 (U/P 0.14)
XG A – 1.72 (U/P 0.29)
GA avg H - 1.17
GA avg A - 0.78
XGA H – 1.19 (O/P 0.02)
XGA A - 1.31 (O/P 0.53)
Clean Sheets H 22%
Clean Sheets A 39%
Avg Possession 47%
Only just under-performed their xG, I expect them to struggle in the PL, despite the talents of players like Pereira. Another team that need to strengthen up top, but must improve defensively too to avoid becoming the league's whipping boys.
A good team to set your Cpt against
A good team to set your Cpt against
Fulham 
GF avg H - 1.71
GF avg A- 1.12
XG H - 1.93 (U/P 0.22)
XG Away – 1.52 (U/P 0.4)
GA avg H - 1.17
GA avg A - 0.92
XGA H - 1.31 (O/P 0.14)
XGA A - 1.35 (O/P 0.43)
Clean Sheets H 42%
Clean Sheets A 32%
Avg Possession 48%
GF avg H - 1.71
GF avg A- 1.12
XG H - 1.93 (U/P 0.22)
XG Away – 1.52 (U/P 0.4)
GA avg H - 1.17
GA avg A - 0.92
XGA H - 1.31 (O/P 0.14)
XGA A - 1.35 (O/P 0.43)
Clean Sheets H 42%
Clean Sheets A 32%
Avg Possession 48%
Sitting somewhere between the other 2 promoted clubs, survival will be tough for the Whites, who will need some smart recruitment.
Its difficult to see another Sheffield U/Wolves situation this year, but Leeds certainly appear the best placed to make a good fist of things.
Its difficult to see another Sheffield U/Wolves situation this year, but Leeds certainly appear the best placed to make a good fist of things.
A more prolific striker is a must for Leeds & is key to unlocking value from their other promising assets such as the £4.5m DEFs Ayling & Dallas and MIDs like Klich at £5.5m.
If they enter the season with Bamford up front I'll think twice about including them straight away
If they enter the season with Bamford up front I'll think twice about including them straight away
Bamford scored 16 goals from an xG of 34.77, despite taking an avg of 3.25 shots p/g (4th highest in league).
If we want to see value from their cheaper assets, that's going to need to improve
If we want to see value from their cheaper assets, that's going to need to improve
Thanks for reading. Thoughts, feedback and retweets gratefully received. Hoping to make 50 followers by the end of the week
@FPLVIKING10 @FPLTekkers @FPL__Raptor @FPL_Sammy @fpl__alex @JoremSigurd @FPLWILSON @FPLGOAT7 @karaga28 @kareemalaa539
@FPLVIKING10 @FPLTekkers @FPL__Raptor @FPL_Sammy @fpl__alex @JoremSigurd @FPLWILSON @FPLGOAT7 @karaga28 @kareemalaa539
