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#COVID19ireland: 56 cases today; no deaths
- 29 men, 27 women
- 79% are under 45
- 35 are associated with outbreaks or are close contacts of a confirmed case
- 12 cases from community transmission
- 26 in Kildare, 13 in Dublin; 17 cases across ten other counties
- 29 men, 27 women
- 79% are under 45
- 35 are associated with outbreaks or are close contacts of a confirmed case
- 12 cases from community transmission
- 26 in Kildare, 13 in Dublin; 17 cases across ten other counties
#COVID19ireland today:
56 cases; 0 deaths
Previous Mondays:
10/08: 57
03/08: 46
27/07: 11
20/07: 6
13/07: 11
06/07: 4
29/06: 24
22/06: 4
15/06: 18
08/06: 9
5-day average: 85.5
7-day average: 79.43
(Previous 7 days: 80.14)
14-day cases/100k: 22.70
(7 days ago: 17.86)
56 cases; 0 deaths
Previous Mondays:
10/08: 57
03/08: 46
27/07: 11
20/07: 6
13/07: 11
06/07: 4
29/06: 24
22/06: 4
15/06: 18
08/06: 9
5-day average: 85.5
7-day average: 79.43
(Previous 7 days: 80.14)
14-day cases/100k: 22.70
(7 days ago: 17.86)
#COVID19ireland cases by county, in the 14 days up to Saturday:
THREAD:
Some replies above asked about current state of C19 in hospitals: 21 #covid19ireland inpatients now (+4 in a day); 8 in intensive care.
There are 412 vacant general hospital beds, and 42 vacant (public) adult ICU beds.
(1/9)
Some replies above asked about current state of C19 in hospitals: 21 #covid19ireland inpatients now (+4 in a day); 8 in intensive care.
There are 412 vacant general hospital beds, and 42 vacant (public) adult ICU beds.
(1/9)
This reflects the demographic of cases in last few weeks, which are predominantly under-45s - and, based on stories from meat plants, many of the cases were asymptomatic.
But a point to consider is that hospitals are now generally busier than they were back in spring: (2/9)
But a point to consider is that hospitals are now generally busier than they were back in spring: (2/9)
Remember the point of 'flatten the curve' was to stop hospitals being overwhelmed through C19 patients - with everyone trying to avoid worst-case, Italy-style scenarios of intensive care units being full, ventilators being shared, patients missing out on care, etc. (3/9)
In mid-April when C19 hospitalisations had peaked, with nearly 900 inpatients and 160 in ICU, there were still ~2,200 vacant hospital beds and ~150 vacant ICU because life had otherwise pretty much ground to a halt.
That, obviously, is not the case now. (4/9)
That, obviously, is not the case now. (4/9)
While there's 412 general beds vacant - and obviously they'll be used if need be - that's almost exactly the 20% of spare/surge capacity the HSE has been trying to keep vacant for the winter flu season. Coping with winter is dependant on keeping those beds vacant until then (5/9)
Likewise while there's 42 ICU beds (+24 more private ones) there were 273 people in intensive care last night, of which C19 accounted for only 8. 79% occupied.
In short: when hospitals are doing everyday work, it takes fewer new C19 cases to max out their capacity. (6/9)
In short: when hospitals are doing everyday work, it takes fewer new C19 cases to max out their capacity. (6/9)
NB: This isn't an attempt to scaremonger! In fact it's comforting that the number of C19 cases in hospital hasn't risen in line with recent trends.
Also, I can understand claims of fear-mongering when hospital stats aren't released with the same fanfare as case numbers. (7/9)
Also, I can understand claims of fear-mongering when hospital stats aren't released with the same fanfare as case numbers. (7/9)
(That's partly because the two sets of figures are published in different ways: HSE's updates hospital on the C19 data hub twice daily ( https://covid19ireland-geohive.hub.arcgis.com/ ) with no announcement; by comparison Dept Health announces new cases with press releases and biweekly conferences) (8/9)
So: while C19 hospital figures have not risen by the same rate as cases (and that's good!) it's worth just bearing in mind that any prospective increase would not have to be on the same scale as March-May to cause the same problems. (9/9)
