So I see this as a fundamental confusion about how effective societies operate, and why we’re failing.

Reasoning is *hard* under the best of circumstances. There is only one way to make good collective decisions - networks of competent trust. https://twitter.com/leashless/status/1295186076181712897

As the cost and penalty of bullshit plummets, each of us falls prey to it in our own way.

I would be very surprised not to be utterly stupid about something, but I don’t know what it is. All my opinions *seem* roght to me.

We need brakes on bullshit. We need institutions that convey a serious consensus about what is going on. Of course the consensus itself is fallible. But as we see, without one, without agreement about who we are and where we’re heading, we end up confused and averse to challeges.

Each of us defends our models fiercely, as there is so litle to hang onto these days. But that’s the opposite of what we should do. Skepticism is most valuable when applied to one’s own beliefs.

It’s not that most people are stupid and a few are smart. All of is are stupid.

It’s whether the whole can be more than the sum of its parts, or whether we reinforce each other’s panicked blunders.

We need functioning institutions and well led cultures that respect them