Yall love to point to David Johnson’s first 6 games where he was the rb6 and not dig any deeper...a thread?
He averaged 49.7 yards on the ground with 2 rushing TDs. Not great on the ground. But he averaged 6.8 targets, 5 catches, 52.5 receiving yards, with 3 receiving TDs in that span. So he has a Kamara type skillset. Heres the reason why thats no good
Deshaun Watson doesnt pass to the running back much(most mobile qbs dont check down). Houston RBs only accounted for 14.6% of Houstons targets last year.
David Johnsons biggest threat of this low volume? Duke Johnson. Duke had 79% of the targets at the running back position last year for Houston. Hyde only left behind 16 targets
David Johnson will eat into Dukes targets but theres only so many from the jump because of Watsons check down tendencies. David Johnsons main volume will be carries. Realistically how much can he actually do between the tackles?
Despite being outside the top 60 with only 6.2 defenders in the box on his carries along with the 6th highest % of carries with a light box, still struggled running the ball
-55th in True YPC, 36th in Big Run Rate, Juke Rate and Yards Created per touch outside the top 45
In the end David Johnson is an aging back in line for 250 carries and 40 targets. The Texans have him in the wrong role and it will kill his efficiency. Hes best used in a role with 200 carries and 85+ targets. Hes also been hurt and might not have much juice left. Fade for me
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