THREAD

1)
The UN Security Council on Friday failed to uphold an arms embargo on #Iran & the U.S. could now act on a threat to trigger a return of all U.N. sanctions on Tehran, known as snapback.

The world body failed to live up to its responsibility & the price will be high.
2)
Even though the US withdrew from the 2015 deal, snapback would require Iran to suspend all nuclear enrichment-related & reprocessing activities, including R&D, & ban imports of anything contributing to those activities or to the development of nuclear weapon delivery systems.
3)
It would reimpose the arms embargo, ban Iran from developing ballistic missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons & reimpose sanctions on dozens of individuals/entities. States also would be urged to inspect shipments to/from Iran & authorized to seize any banned cargo.
4)
How does the U.S. trigger snapback?

Washington would have to submit a complaint about Iran breaching the nuclear deal to the UN Security Council.

The council would then have to vote within 30 days on a resolution to continue Iran’s sanctions relief.
5)
If such a resolution is not put forward by the deadline, all U.N. sanctions in place before the 2015 nuclear deal would be automatically reimposed.

Some diplomats have said the U.S. could submit its complaint as early as next week.
6)
If a resolution is put forward prior the 30-day deadline, say by Russia or China, the U.S. can veto that resolution, forcing the deadline to expire and the snapback mechanism reimposing all UN sanctions.
7)
“In the coming days, the United States will follow through on that promise to stop at nothing to extend the arms embargo,” U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Kelly Craft said in a statement.
8)
Iran’s U.N. Amb. Majid Takht Ravanchi warned the U.S. against snapback.

“Imposition of any sanctions or restrictions on Iran by the Security Council will be met severely by Iran and our options are not limited,” he threatened in known Iran-saber rattling style.
9)
It was not immediately clear how Russia, China or any other Security Council members might try to stop the U.S. from triggering a sanctions snapback or if procedurally there is any way they can.
12)
“… the clear majority of Council members gave the green light to Iran to buy and sell all manner of conventional weapons. The Council’s failure today will serve neither peace nor security. Rather, it will fuel greater conflict and drive even more insecurity.
13)
“Has Iran done anything to warrant reconsideration of its status as the world’s number one state sponsor of terrorism? Should UN arms restrictions that have been in place for 13 years be lifted?”

The answer is simple: No.
17)
It is now quite obvious that UN Security Council members would rather witness a Middle East arms race because they would profit from selling weapons & defense systems to all parties involved.

They care nothing about the region’s nations that will suffer greatly.
18)
@Rich_Goldberg—All nations that abstained should abstain again if any state questions US' snapback right. To do otherwise would move them from an already morally compromised position of neutrality to proactive support of China/Russia launching a military client state in Iran.
19)
Goldberg:
“Should any nation contest the US right to snapback—a right that is absolute and indefinite based on the text of UNSCR 2231—the Trump administration should be prepared to exercise its double veto power as a permanent member of the Security Council.”
20)
What is the “double veto” power?
https://www.fdd.org/in-the-news/2020/07/09/faq-the-snapback-of-un-sanctions-on-iran/

Important segment here👇
21)
The UN Security Council & especially the Europeans could have cooperated with the U.S. in extending the UN arms embargo on Iran, the world’s leading state sponsor of terrorism.

They failed & chose the hard path.

Snapback will bear an even harsher outcome for Iran’s regime.
22)
On a final note, especially for European governments:

Chamberlain appeased Hitler. That did not end well.

Stop your appeasement of Iran’s murderous mullahs & join the U.S.’ maximum pressure policy.

This is the only language Tehran understands & its for your own good.
23)
ADDENDUM:

Iran’s regime can always count on Sen. @ChrisMurphyCT to push its talking points.

But don’t be surprised at all, Murphy is a regular at events held by the mullahs' lobby in Washington— @NIACouncil.
24)
ADDENDUM:

More reason to not be surprised.

Sen. Murphy has been known to hold secret meetings with Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad @JZarif, most likely the main source of his talking points.

This thread sheds light. https://twitter.com/HeshmatAlavi/status/1229398493569179648?s=20
25)
ADDENDUM:

@jrezaian also pushes Iran’s talking points in the @washingtonpost.

His last piece about the departure of Brian Hook from the State Dept was praised by @Tasnimnews_Fa, the mouthpiece of Iran's IRGC Quds Force, a designated terrorist organization.
26)
ADDENDUM:

@brhodes also loves to push Iran's talking points.

Again, don't be surprised. Rhodes has a very close relationship with the mullahs' lobby group NIAC, founded by @tparsi.
27)
ADDENDUM:
#Iran's regime can always rely on @CNN to provide a platform for its chief lobbyist @tparsi to push the mullahs' talking points.

Parsi has very close ties with Tehran's senior officials.

On the snapback mechanism, he is absolutely wrong.

But he has no choice.
28)
ADDENDUM:

#Iran claims to have increased its missile range to reach U.S. soil. More reason to impose all pre-JCPOA sanctions on this regime.

Yet Europe believes the West should further appease the mullahs' regime. https://twitter.com/IranNewsUpdate1/status/1294560441541242880?s=20
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