US Update: 8/8/2020

*4-Day Update

Graph 1: Daily Deaths + Current Hospitalizations

- Hosps falling rapidly and consistently
- Deaths up 22 W-o-W (mainly CA, WA, NC, LA)

Death increase has stalled and possibly peaked

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Graph 2: COVID ICU Census vs. Deaths (7DayAvg) vs. Daily Detected Cases

***Detected Cases down sharply and consistently

- 7-Day Death avg DOWN 62 W-o-W
- ICUs dropping faster now

Legacy death reporting from hot & cold states is slowing the nose-over but not stopping it

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Graph 3: Daily Tests + Detected Cases + Case Positivity

***7-Day Case Pos% down 0.3% W-o-W

- Testing down 137k W-o-W (FL hurricane / CA/WA data issues)
- Detected Cases large drop by 6,235 W-o-W but same issues above

Testing a mess the past week, but Pos% decline is valid

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Graph 4: Coronavirus - Census for Hospitalizations vs. ICUs vs. Ventilators

***Dominoes falling faster

- Hosps DOWN 4,215 W-o-W
- ICUs DOWN 802 W-o-W
- Vents DOWN 86 W-o-W

Deaths certainly will go down accordingly

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Graphs 5: Daily Estimated Cases vs. Deaths

I expect the grey line to follow the blue pattern.