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NI's death stats for week ending 31/7/20:
273 - Total
282 - Average deaths for same week over previous 5 yrs
298 - Maximum deaths in same week over previous 5 yrs
273 - Minimum deaths in same week over previous 5 yrs
How, during a "pandemic", can we be at a 5-year low?
273 - Total
282 - Average deaths for same week over previous 5 yrs
298 - Maximum deaths in same week over previous 5 yrs
273 - Minimum deaths in same week over previous 5 yrs
How, during a "pandemic", can we be at a 5-year low?
Total number of deaths "Covid-19 related":
556 - Public Health Authority (positive tests)
854 - NISRA (includes deaths with no positive tests)
Deaths by age & sex (NISRA):
426 - Male
428 - Female
4 - 1-44 Male Age-Group
3 - 1-44 Female Age Group
556 - Public Health Authority (positive tests)
854 - NISRA (includes deaths with no positive tests)
Deaths by age & sex (NISRA):
426 - Male
428 - Female
4 - 1-44 Male Age-Group
3 - 1-44 Female Age Group
That's a total of 7 people in NI between the ages of 1-44 whose deaths were registered as #COVID19 "related".
34 - 45-64 Male
19 - 45-64 Female
65 - 65-74 Male
45 - 65-74 Female
152 - 75-84 Male
133 - 75-84 Female
171 - 85+ Male
228 - 85+ Female
34 - 45-64 Male
19 - 45-64 Female
65 - 65-74 Male
45 - 65-74 Female
152 - 75-84 Male
133 - 75-84 Female
171 - 85+ Male
228 - 85+ Female
I have attached a side-by-side comparison for number of deaths from the same period analysed in 2015, that's week ending 19/6 to week ending 31/7.
1969 deaths for 2020
1915 deaths for 2015
-------
54 excess deaths for the 2020 "pandemic" in the period calculated.
1969 deaths for 2020
1915 deaths for 2015
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54 excess deaths for the 2020 "pandemic" in the period calculated.
#COVID19 "related deaths" as per @NISRA's 854 figure:
(Age) 75+ = 81% of all deaths (684)
(Age) 65+ = 93% of all deaths (794)
"COVID-19 deaths include any death where Coronavirus or COVID-19 (suspected or confirmed) was mentioned anywhere on the death certificate." - NISRA
(Age) 75+ = 81% of all deaths (684)
(Age) 65+ = 93% of all deaths (794)
"COVID-19 deaths include any death where Coronavirus or COVID-19 (suspected or confirmed) was mentioned anywhere on the death certificate." - NISRA
"Excess deaths" are calculated by taking the death counts from the same time period over the previous 5 years and then calculating an average as a baseline. Anything over the average is deemed "excess". There's of course a major issue with this method. It inflates the baseline.
EG:
24/7/20: Total 307
5yr Min: 203
5yr Max: 288
Average: 265
Excess: 307-265=42
This dilutes the relevance of the 288 deaths (2017) in a non-pandemic year. Excess deaths should be calculated based upon the next highest figure.
307-288=19 excess deaths.
24/7/20: Total 307
5yr Min: 203
5yr Max: 288
Average: 265
Excess: 307-265=42
This dilutes the relevance of the 288 deaths (2017) in a non-pandemic year. Excess deaths should be calculated based upon the next highest figure.
307-288=19 excess deaths.
Of the 854 deaths registered by @NISRA:
429 = care home residents (80 of whom died in hospital)
448 = occurred in hospitals (Incl 80 as above)
What I will seek to ascertain from NISRA is of the 448 hospital deaths how many caught the virus whilst in hospital?
429 = care home residents (80 of whom died in hospital)
448 = occurred in hospitals (Incl 80 as above)
What I will seek to ascertain from NISRA is of the 448 hospital deaths how many caught the virus whilst in hospital?
