Weekly #Ottawa #COVID19 thread.

I've been on vacation, so just a few custom graphs.

Geography: Gloucester-Southgate, Beacon Hill-Cyrville and Alta Vista were especially high the last 2 weeks; also Bay.

Gloucester-Southgate isn't *quite* Heron Gate, is it? 1/

The City's publishing perfectly good weekly age graphs now.

Ages 0-19 still high! Largest age group this week, and their cases in July = Mar+Apr+May+Jun combined.

BUT - also probably the first time these age groups have been "let out" to mix, unlike essential worker ages. 2/

Childcare outbreaks continue apace. About 50/50 children vs. staff involved. I assume siblings and parents are above and beyond these numbers. 3/

The mid-July spike is slowly dropping from last week's ~25 daily case plateau to ~15. Getting back to ~5 is possible!

Ottawa's Rt reflects the spike (July 12-25) and now the drop (Jul 30 - Aug 6). 4/

I have to imagine this is due to the unsung heroes of the operation: @ottawahealth contact tracing! Take a look at known source (teal): for about 70% of cases, they tracked down the infection chain.

Compare against Peel, where it's ~35% known. https://twitter.com/Andrew36699022/status/1289328515544780801?s=20
5/

One stat that concerned me a little: a week ago, this was 42% in 24 hours / 92% in 48 hours.

But - it's probably just the long weekend effect.

Anecdotally: the turnaround for a *negative* test in my family was 40 hours, before the long weekend.
6/

And... we're going to need a lot of tests and *quick* turnarounds, if school rolls out as planned and daycares go to 100% capacity.

Any symptom = entire family stays home until negative test.
Testing centres should have "queue by phone and wait in car" too.

end/