@drdavidsamadi @DanForestNC @LtGovDanForest @APDillon_ @NC4SchoolChoice @DeAngelisCorey NC COVID data as of 8/4/20, w/comparison to 7/28 in parentheses:

Via NCDHHS, there were 128,161 confirmed cases (⬆️ of 12,074) & 105,093 recovered cases (⬆️ of 12,791), & 2,010 deaths 1/
(⬆️ by 190), w/1,166 currently hospitalized (⬇️ of 70). This means there are currently 21,058 active cases in the entire state (⬇️ by 907). So 82% recovered (⬆️ 2.49%), 1.57% deaths (no change), & 16.43% active cases (⬇️ 2.49%). Out of 1,854,026 completed tests, there were 2/
128,161 (+) cases, w/6.91% overall incidence (⬇️ of 0.07%). Prevalence was 1.222% (⬆️ of 0.115%). On 8/4, there were 1,629 (+) cases out of 11,140 tests, w/14.62% daily incidence. That is more than double the overall incidence & this seems off/outlier to me; w/13,639 fewer 3/
tests than the previous day. And, the avg incidence for this wk is 7.12%. The NCDHHS doesn’t provide a reason for ⬇️ in number of tests. On 8/4, avg deaths/day = 27.14 in the last 7 days. Re: kids, 11% of all cases have been ID’d in 0-17 yrs (no change), w/0% deaths to date, 4/
1 death overall (no change since 6/30). 51.69% of all deaths in NC are in congregate settings (SNF, RCF, CF) - ⬇️ by 0.73%. NEW STATS I’M REPORTING: case fatality rate is 1.57% (unchanged), mortality rate is 0.019% (⬆️ 0.002%). If all 21,058 active cases as of 8/4 were located 5/
in Wake County, the incidence would be 1.86% (⬇️ by 0.08%). At quick glance, case rate<recovery rate w/minor fluctuations wk to wk (recovery rate outpacing case rate), death rate is relatively unchanged, incidence is ⬇️’ing despite unexplained outliers, & prevalence has ⬆️ 6/
slightly (as we would expect given continued testing/course of disease). That’s great news! If you test (+) in the ED or prior to elective surgery or s/p elective surgery, or are admitted for a completely unrelated hosp but then test (+), this is counted as a COVID hosp. 7/
As I’ve stated over the last 2 months, the admission criteria threshold for COVID has been lowered, 2° better understanding of pathology of disease + medical mgmt. Hospitals are admitting pts earlier & treating w/meds to reduce likelihood of vent support. If you have mild sx’s 8/
& want to be tested, please make an appt w/your PCP or at a drive-thru testing facility. ED’s are to be used for emergency purposes. Continued ?’s: Why isn’t NCDHHS showing number recovered & incorporating into stats, particularly number of *active* cases? Of current active 9/
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