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~ 2019 #ReceptionPerception x PPR PPG ~
Thanks to @MattHarmon_BYB's 2019 RP database, I was able to dig into "success vs coverage" and how it correlates to N PPR PPG for WRs
In this thread, I'll focus on success vs
Double Team
Man
Press
Zone
(1/7)
Thanks to @MattHarmon_BYB's 2019 RP database, I was able to dig into "success vs coverage" and how it correlates to N PPR PPG for WRs
In this thread, I'll focus on success vs
Double TeamManPressZone(1/7)
Details on the analysis:
Sample: 50 WRs
RP's data is an 8-week sample. Since I don't know which 8 weeks, I'm using each WRs full season PPG avg
I mainly focus on volume, or the total number of successful routes vs each coverage (not success rate)
Let's dive in!
(2/7)
Sample: 50 WRsRP's data is an 8-week sample. Since I don't know which 8 weeks, I'm using each WRs full season PPG avgI mainly focus on volume, or the total number of successful routes vs each coverage (not success rate)Let's dive in!
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Successful Routes vs Double Teams
This had by far the highest correlation to N PPR PPG
R2 = 0.357
Minimum 10 routes run vs DT (28 WRs)
R2 jumps to 0.479
No surprise Julio, Thomas & Hopkins lead this list!
~ Conclusion: Elite fantasy WRs produce despite DT ~
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This had by far the highest correlation to N PPR PPG
R2 = 0.357Minimum 10 routes run vs DT (28 WRs)
R2 jumps to 0.479No surprise Julio, Thomas & Hopkins lead this list!
~ Conclusion: Elite fantasy WRs produce despite DT ~
(3/7)
Successful Routes vs Man
Correlation is still solid, yet not as high as "vs Double Teams"
Using all 50 WRs:
R2 = 0.224
With minimum of 100 routes vs man (48 WRs)
R2 = 0.291
Interesting observation: ARob is top 7 in success rate vs man & DT (min 10 routes run)
(4/7)
Correlation is still solid, yet not as high as "vs Double Teams"
Using all 50 WRs:
R2 = 0.224With minimum of 100 routes vs man (48 WRs)
R2 = 0.291Interesting observation: ARob is top 7 in success rate vs man & DT (min 10 routes run)
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Successful Routes vs Press
Very similar to "Success vs Man," for all 50 WRs:
R2 = 0.216
With min. of 50 routes vs Press (39 WRs):
R2 = 0.395
Interesting Observation: Keenan Allen, one of the best route runners, led RP sample size in successful routes vs Press
(5/7)
Very similar to "Success vs Man," for all 50 WRs:
R2 = 0.216With min. of 50 routes vs Press (39 WRs):
R2 = 0.395Interesting Observation: Keenan Allen, one of the best route runners, led RP sample size in successful routes vs Press
(5/7)
And lastly, success rate vs Zone
This one is extremely intriguing, as the correlation is very low to PPR PPG
For all 50 WRs:
R2 = 0.0108
Conclusion: beating zone coverage, may not always equate to more targets, which is why the correlation to PPG is low
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This one is extremely intriguing, as the correlation is very low to PPR PPG
For all 50 WRs:
R2 = 0.0108Conclusion: beating zone coverage, may not always equate to more targets, which is why the correlation to PPG is low
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Hope you enjoyed this. My conclusions:
Great fantasy WRs can consistently beat man & press
Elite fantasy WRs will produce despite double coverage
All credit goes to @MattHarmon_BYB and his RP data, which is found in the @TheFFBallers' UDK.
Thanks for reading!
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Great fantasy WRs can consistently beat man & pressElite fantasy WRs will produce despite double coverageAll credit goes to @MattHarmon_BYB and his RP data, which is found in the @TheFFBallers' UDK.
Thanks for reading!
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