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This is my own personal analysis on the current political deadlock that is preventing any possible reformation in Lebanon: 0/9
The current elite system is not capable of adapting which is exactly why no actual comprehensive reformation is possible. Certain tools/policies that have been developed since the Taif are tied to the existence of our current elites, they are detrimental for their continuity. 1/9
To actually fight corruption the main element of this corrupt system has to vanish, patron-clientelism. This internalized form of a welfare system that keeps mouths fed to shut them up is exactly why our country is in its current state. 2/9
Today we are seeing the effects of the disappearance of this welfare system and how the “blind” support base is gradually crumbling and waking up. Ex: that Mayadeen reporter who I dont want to mention his name and his tweet yesterday. 3/9
The fact that such a “journalist” (He doesn’t qualify but lets consider him one for the sake of the argument) who attacked revolutionaries from the first day is slightly turning on his own system signals significant discontent within the ruling elites’ support base. 4/9
Not a single party is capable of fighting corruption because that dictates that they should lay-off thousands of government employees who were employed by them, not to mention how it means that privileges related to some ministries will disappear. 5/9
Past sociopolitical experiments should serve as a lesson current ones, take the Soviet Union as an example. 6/9
It was either reform or die, it turned to reform and die in the most peaceful way possible because the truth was that a monolithic establishment is not malleable enough to withstand the public aftershock produced by the reformations. 7/9
Major civil society orgs and movement in Lebanon have not ceased all protests because they gave up, they realized that the key out of this chaos is time. 8/9
Never lose hope, change occurs over a long period of time. Hitting rock bottom is part of this process. 9/9
