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A wealth of information creates a poverty of attention.
Want me to prove it to you?
Here's a small test.
Watch the video before reading the remaining thread.
It’s a test of your awareness so don’t cheat.
Want me to prove it to you?
Here's a small test.
Watch the video before reading the remaining thread.
It’s a test of your awareness so don’t cheat.
Did you get the count right?
And you spotted the Gorilla also? Great
You have seen this video before, haven’t you?
But wait.
Let’ see if you can win the next one.
Again, don’t read further before watching this video.
And you spotted the Gorilla also? Great
You have seen this video before, haven’t you?
But wait.
Let’ see if you can win the next one.
Again, don’t read further before watching this video.
I am sure you never bothered about the ball passes this time.
Moreover, the gorilla was too easy to spot, right?
But the question is –
Did you notice the change in the colour of the curtain in the background?
Like the first experiment, most people fail in this one too.
Moreover, the gorilla was too easy to spot, right?
But the question is –
Did you notice the change in the colour of the curtain in the background?
Like the first experiment, most people fail in this one too.
Reminds me of what a wise man said, “Fool me once shame on you. Fool me twice shame on me.“
It’s the inattentional bias that’s fooling you, not the gorilla.
German philosopher Friedrich Hegel wrote, “What we learn from history is that we don’t learn from history.”
It’s the inattentional bias that’s fooling you, not the gorilla.
German philosopher Friedrich Hegel wrote, “What we learn from history is that we don’t learn from history.”
My version of Hegel’s saying:
What we learn from the gorilla experiment is that we don’t learn from the gorilla experiment.
The setup in the 1st video deliberately steered your attention away from the gorilla.
Soon after that...
What we learn from the gorilla experiment is that we don’t learn from the gorilla experiment.
The setup in the 1st video deliberately steered your attention away from the gorilla.
Soon after that...
...you’re shown how you missed the dancing gorilla.
Now your brain is primed with the idea of an invisible gorilla.
Therefore, by the time you’re ready to watch the second video, you’ve been subtly manipulated to look for the gorilla.
Now your brain is primed with the idea of an invisible gorilla.
Therefore, by the time you’re ready to watch the second video, you’ve been subtly manipulated to look for the gorilla.
As a result, most people start trying to win the first game (find the gorilla) but don’t realize that the game has already changed (curtains).
And you are not alone.
France made the same mistake in World War 2.
And you are not alone.
France made the same mistake in World War 2.
Based on experiences from WW1, French built the Maginot Line — a chain of defensive concrete fortifications erected along the eastern border of France.
It was designed to prevent future invasions from German ground forces.
But in World War 2 ...
It was designed to prevent future invasions from German ground forces.
But in World War 2 ...
German ground forces instead attacked through the weakly held Ardennes forest near Luxemburg and its Luftwaffe flew over the fortifications.
The French prepared for a defensive war similar to WW1 and didn’t account for the new conditions, new technologies and tactics.
The French prepared for a defensive war similar to WW1 and didn’t account for the new conditions, new technologies and tactics.
WW1 was more of trench war.
WW2 was different.
In the second episode of WW, Germany brought more of mechanized blitzkrieg – tanks, motorized infantry, and air support.
WW2 was different.
In the second episode of WW, Germany brought more of mechanized blitzkrieg – tanks, motorized infantry, and air support.
Trouble often comes from the direction we least expect.
Bob Rubin reminds — Condoms aren't completely safe. A friend of mine was wearing one and got hit by a bus.
French prepared themselves for old threats and plugged the past vulnerabilities.
But they forgot one thing.
Bob Rubin reminds — Condoms aren't completely safe. A friend of mine was wearing one and got hit by a bus.
French prepared themselves for old threats and plugged the past vulnerabilities.
But they forgot one thing.
Past provides limited ability to adapt to changing situations.
It’s common to learn too precisely from the past bad experiences & focus all our energies towards preventing the yesterday’s dangers.
The reality may be that the conditions, objectives, & the enemies have changed.
It’s common to learn too precisely from the past bad experiences & focus all our energies towards preventing the yesterday’s dangers.
The reality may be that the conditions, objectives, & the enemies have changed.
It's like the Lucretius Problem.
We assume that some past disaster would never exceed its historical maximum and we build guardrails only for that. https://www.safalniveshak.com/latticework-mental-models-lucretius-problem/
We assume that some past disaster would never exceed its historical maximum and we build guardrails only for that. https://www.safalniveshak.com/latticework-mental-models-lucretius-problem/
Should we ignore the lessons from the past?
No.
The argument here is that the lessons from the past aren’t always obvious.
For example, in the gorilla experiment if the lesson you take home is – “look for the invisible gorilla” then you’ve missed the point.
No.
The argument here is that the lessons from the past aren’t always obvious.
For example, in the gorilla experiment if the lesson you take home is – “look for the invisible gorilla” then you’ve missed the point.
The WW2 example is from Peter Bevelin's book http://amzn.to/2n4wSdb
"Both the French and the Germans learned the right lesson from WW1 – that it was mostly a defensive war.
But while the French adopted the lesson, the Germans adapted to it."
"Both the French and the Germans learned the right lesson from WW1 – that it was mostly a defensive war.
But while the French adopted the lesson, the Germans adapted to it."
