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I, like many, hear the notion "Track speed like WRs get injured more often then other WRs"
So I dug into this.
The data WILL shock you
A long, educational, thread!!
So I dug into this.
The data WILL shock you
A long, educational, thread!!
The data set I created has over 78 seasons worth of games in it and all recorded from 2010 and beyond
All WRs I tracked have 2 things all in common
4.39 or faster 40 time
BMI of 28 or below
So here we go!
All WRs I tracked have 2 things all in common
4.39 or faster 40 time BMI of 28 or belowSo here we go!
The first set of data was very simple
The players who hit these 2 Marks
played 69% of games
missed 31% of games
An average of 11.04 games played
I was curious so I continued to peel the onion and began dividing these WRs even more
How did I do so? By using BMI
The players who hit these 2 Marks
played 69% of games missed 31% of gamesAn average of 11.04 games played
I was curious so I continued to peel the onion and began dividing these WRs even more
How did I do so? By using BMI
I divided them into 2 categories
Players with a BMI
Below 26.00
And players with a BMI
Above 26.00
Why did I use 26? Well simple, I had 0 WRs I came across with a 26 BMI. They were all 25 or 27 BMi
This is where there is a huge discrepancy
Players with a BMI
Below 26.00
And players with a BMI
Above 26.00
Why did I use 26? Well simple, I had 0 WRs I came across with a 26 BMI. They were all 25 or 27 BMi
This is where there is a huge discrepancy
Players with a BMI of 26 or below and running a 40 of 4.39 and lower:
Play on average 61% of games
Meaning they played on average, 9.76 games per year
Some current WRs who hit this threshold?
Hollywood Brown, Ross, Fuller, Byrd, etc
Play on average 61% of games
Meaning they played on average, 9.76 games per year
Some current WRs who hit this threshold?
Hollywood Brown, Ross, Fuller, Byrd, etc
Players with a BMI 26 and above who run a 40 of 4.39 and below play on average:
71.8% of games meaning they play right around 11.51 games per year
Some WRs who hit this threshold are Tyreek, Mecole, Goodwin, Campbell, etc
71.8% of games meaning they play right around 11.51 games per year
Some WRs who hit this threshold are Tyreek, Mecole, Goodwin, Campbell, etc
The dataset I have, somewhat big, somewhat small, but is large enough to give us a good baseline
But 0, yup 0, of the WRs I tracked with a BMI below 26 have ever played a full 16 game season
But 0, yup 0, of the WRs I tracked with a BMI below 26 have ever played a full 16 game season
Conclusion?
"Trackspeed" WRs will miss games, but the WRs of a smaller BMI are likely to miss more games more often than their counterparts of BMIs 26 and above
I have always been very "outspoken" on fading speedy WRs but now I'll be much more open, but will....
"Trackspeed" WRs will miss games, but the WRs of a smaller BMI are likely to miss more games more often than their counterparts of BMIs 26 and above
I have always been very "outspoken" on fading speedy WRs but now I'll be much more open, but will....
.... depend on their BMI from here on out
Some guys I will continue to fade.
Someone will ask, so I'll address it now.
Henry Ruggs. His BMI is literally 26.50. Dead middle, so with him, his rookie year will be how I judge him going forward
Some guys I will continue to fade.
Someone will ask, so I'll address it now.
Henry Ruggs. His BMI is literally 26.50. Dead middle, so with him, his rookie year will be how I judge him going forward
Moving forward, if you ask me about a "speedy" WR I will always pay much more attention to their BMI.
Hope this helps someone! If you liked, we have tons more content over on the Patreon! https://www.patreon.com/Ffball247
Hope this helps someone! If you liked, we have tons more content over on the Patreon! https://www.patreon.com/Ffball247
