Yet, the #COVID19 pandemic made mobilization of resources for financing the #SGDs almost impossible. Eg, the collapse in economic activity will make consumption taxes plummet even more than during the global financial crisis. #Tax compliance will significantly suffer as well
3/n
External flows'll also shrink. Global #FDI will fall by 30% in 2020...even more in developing countries. Remittances'll drop by 20%, sharpest in recent history. During first 2 months of #COVID19, >USD 100 billion flew out of emerging markets, >3 times than during 2008 crisis
4/n
#COVID19 has made it imperative for developing countries to reform their #tax systems. Reforming tax expenditures will generate additional revenues, improve the perception about fairness of tax systems and enhance budget transparency
5/n
Average share of #tax expenditure accounts for 2.9% of GDP in Africa, 1% less than in LATAM. Yet, the lack of transparency is striking, and underreporting is very likely to be an issue…64% of African countries didn't publish a tax expenditure report during the 2000-19 period
6/n
Besides their fiscal cost, #tax expenditures are often ineffective and can result in net revenue losses. Eg, tax incentives for #investment, have proven highly ineffective and there is a strong, negative relationship between their generosity and CIT revenues
7/n
Developing countries are urged to start assessing #tax expenditures during the next annual budget discussions to lower their annual cost by at least 1% of GDP. This would be a milestone since, in the past decade, tax-to-GDP increased only by <1% of GDP, on average
8/n
#COVID19 provides an opportunity to rationalize the use of #tax expenditures. Widespread support can increase since additional resources are needed for health services and to mitigate the impact of the pandemic...even more since these provisions often benefit the better-off
9/9
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