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Public health professor and Scottish government advisor @devisridhar lays out what you need for an effective test / trace / isolate programme to stop coronavirus spreading.
So how is England doing?
Not well. https://twitter.com/devisridhar/status/1287477872060489728
So how is England doing?
Not well. https://twitter.com/devisridhar/status/1287477872060489728
Test results given within 24 hours?
87% of Pillar 1 (NHS / PHE) tests
47% of Pillar 2 (private lab) tests
About two thirds of tests overall.
87% of Pillar 1 (NHS / PHE) tests
47% of Pillar 2 (private lab) tests
About two thirds of tests overall.
80% of contacts traced?
20% of new cases aren't reached at all, and so can't give any contacts.
20% of the people they DO reach can't or won't give any contacts (or genuinely haven't been in recent contact with anyone else).
22% of the contacts they DO identify aren't reached.
20% of new cases aren't reached at all, and so can't give any contacts.
20% of the people they DO reach can't or won't give any contacts (or genuinely haven't been in recent contact with anyone else).
22% of the contacts they DO identify aren't reached.
Compliance with isolation?
Nobody knows.
But in one recent case 3 out of 75 seasonal workers known to have covid-19 fled a locked down farm despite police guarding the site to keep them in!
In most cases nobody even calls to see if you're staying home. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.thesun.co.uk/news/12108744/four-workers-on-run-coronavirus-farm-mathon-herefordshire/amp/
Nobody knows.
But in one recent case 3 out of 75 seasonal workers known to have covid-19 fled a locked down farm despite police guarding the site to keep them in!
In most cases nobody even calls to see if you're staying home. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.thesun.co.uk/news/12108744/four-workers-on-run-coronavirus-farm-mathon-herefordshire/amp/
