I also think knowing the community rate matters - so recommend looking at recent testing, hospitalization and other measures of COVID prevalence. I like the NYT approach which includes data caveats and mapping https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
Ultimately, We focused on what we could control - minimizing close contact and using known approaches to reducing risk (hand washing, disinfecting, social distancing, masks)
You can follow @RadhaKIyengar.
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