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Lots of talk of a coalition to counter PRC behavior. Unlikely we see a formal, monolithic effort like an alliance of democracies emerge. Instead, we likely see overlapping coalitions of common cause in specific areas: defense, IO, economic coercion, tech control, supply chain.
While we favor a binary approach like during the Cold War, each country in a global competition will ultimately be driven be a mix of geography, politics, and economic dependence. This approach would leave room for states to be engaged in the areas of greatest concern to them.
Countries like Japan and Australia might be expected to be a part of all the coalitions while others like India, the UK, Brazil, Canada, Singapore, and Vietnam will engage in the areas most relevant to them for varying reasons.
A dialogue on resilient supply chains or controlling export controls could be occurring with a growing group of countries while at the same time a small group focuses more narrowly on defense matters or information operations.
