In our epidemiology course for journalists, I used this as example of selection bias & uncritical journalistic reporting.

Here are a few headlines in Indian media screaming that 15% of Indians have antibodies against #coronavirus and they have 'immunity'
First, the data behind this is a Tweet from 1 private lab in India! Not even a pre-print!

Since when does a tweet provide data that can be generalized to an entire country??
Second, data are from a single private lab chain in India. Journalists should be asking the following questions:

-Who gets tested at a private lab in India (affordability)?
-Why did they get tested for antibodies?
-What was the sampling method?
-If most people tested were corporate referrals, are they affluent people?
-Are those who asked for testing the 'worried well'?
-Are they exposed or having symptoms?
-Does the private lab cover rural populations? Urban poor?
Based on the above, how representative is the sample to the Indian population at large?

If we plan to generalize to a country, it is a lot of work to get the sampling right. A convenience sample from a single private lab, no matter how large the numbers, will not work.
And large numbers (60K) cannot overcome selection bias. Large numbers can only provide 'precision' of estimates.
For a more detailed discussion on selection bias, here is the video from my course on epidemiology for Indian journalists:
You can follow @paimadhu.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled:

By continuing to use the site, you are consenting to the use of cookies as explained in our Cookie Policy to improve your experience.