Read on Twitter
Some perhaps harsh truths (though obvious to many):
1. Travel-related businesses, concerts, indoor dining and other in-person gatherings will not come back until widespread vaccine distribution which could be 2H:21. Enough with the "let's reassess in January" thing
1. Travel-related businesses, concerts, indoor dining and other in-person gatherings will not come back until widespread vaccine distribution which could be 2H:21. Enough with the "let's reassess in January" thing
2. Taking temperatures at entry and asking people to self-report symptoms on an app is pure "security theater" - it's only meant to make the rule-maker feel better about themselves esp. 40% asymptomatic disease. Also 98.6 means almost nothing https://www.bmj.com/content/359/bmj.j5468
3. The winter will be much worse societally even if virus is more in check - vaccine not widely distributed. No ability to dine or socialize outdoors for vast part of US. Many will grow weary of staying compliant 9 mos into this pandemic.
4. Schools - likelihood is some children will get sick, many household adults will get sick from their kids. We will be slow to close schools and communities again despite this. (see data from Israel which despite 3% test positive has been forced to re-impose some shutdown).
5. Mid-Atlantic will have hot-spots again - see Baltimore now and I fear DC and NYC are next. Maybe not as bad as April was but not good. Even in vulnerable pockets, I'm not sure we are anywhere close to herd even in NYC.
6. We will struggle with testing turn-around time until initiatives like @OpenCoViDScreen are successful. Current central lab paradigm just won't work at the scale we need and we are still under-testing. Race to see if vaccine widely available or proper testing will arrive first.
