Use of care and mortality due to corona/Covid-19 in Finland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Iceland, Estonia; data from 22.7.

+ Excess mortality + Google mobility.

Thread. (English version).

Fig 1a-b. Number of persons in intensive and hospital care per day. 1/x
Fig 2. Number of deaths per day (moving average).

The daily numbers at low levels now in Sweden for both hospitalisation and mortality. Intensive care, the decline has slowed down a bit during the past few days. 2/x
Fig 3a-d. Geographical differences within Finland: Number of persons in care/day and daily verified diagnoses by the five “specialised medical care regions”.

Outbreaks but these have been contained so far. 3/x
Fig 4a-c: Finland: Weekly total mortality by sex and age early 2020 until week 26 and previous years. 4/x
Fig 5a-b. Weekly total mortality in different countries early 2020 as compared to previous years + weekly cumulative deaths + Sweden age-specific.

Sweden close to historic weekly normal (5a), but excess during the whole year clearly visible in 5b. 5/x
Fig 6. Google mobility data. 6/x
Still worried about how the incidence can go rapidly up in some countries which seemed to have achieved a good control of the situation. Few examples: 7/x

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/daily-covid-cases-3-day-average?time=2020-02-18..&country=AUS~CZE~FIN~ISR~SGP~KOR~JPN
Media reports from Australia that 9 out of 10 recent cases continued their lives normally despite symptoms, can it be true? These kind of changes in behaviour real challenge. 8/x
In Europe countries opening borders if incidence around/lower than “8 cases per 100000 during past 14 days”. Numbers are available at the ECDC site.

Cumbersome but “Region” (eg EU/EEA) -> ”Period” (past 14 days), will give table “cases per 100000”: 9/9

https://qap.ecdc.europa.eu/public/extensions/COVID-19/COVID-19.html
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