it's been a while since we had a good "texas hospitals are about to be overwhelmed" story.

perhaps that's because the worst looks to have passed and no system ever got close to overwhelmed?

available ICU is at a 2 week high and rising.

it never even hit base capacity.
and as we can see here, even in much fretted over "area Q" (houston) base capacity was never reached.

also note that the red line for "surge" is just 120% of base. it's a federal mandate, not real surge capacity.

real surge capacity is generally more like 150% of baseline.
HHS stats:

TX ICU usage is currently 77.9%
TX hospital usage is currently 70.62%
percentage of inpatient beds with covid is 18.38%
so % of overall capacity that's covid is 12.98%

so this would seem to be yet another breathlessly predicted crisis that failed to materialize
and it appears that the adage that "them that's worried don't know and them that know ain't worried" has carried the day.

please consider this when assessing whatever the media's covidian hobgoblin du jour turns out to be.

their track record is dismal. https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1276583838567653376?s=20
listen to actual hospital CEO's, like marc boom of houston methodist.

85-95% ICU utilization is normal.

no hospital wants to leave expensive to staff ICU beds idle.

so they don't. they flex capacity to meet need.
so, you might want to listen to the people who actually run the hospitals (and not some panicked, cherrypicked 27 year old doctor who has to walk back his hysterical comments)

this is not their first rodeo. but it IS the first one many of you have watched.

keep that in mind.
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