Unfortunately, upcoming @TheICCT research concludes that the proposal is too weak to accelerate investments in more fuel-efficient aircraft. Sharing some insights here from that work, which will be published next month and updates this 2015 paper. (2/x) https://theicct.org/sites/default/files/publications/ICCT_Aircraft-FE-Trends_20150902.pdf
New aircraft deliveries in 2019 were already 6% more fuel-efficient than required in 2028. The average new commercial jet delivered in 2016, the year that the @icao standard the EPA is codifying was finalized, already met the 2028 requirements. (3/x)
That means that the proposed standard lags state-of-the-art technology by more than a decade. New aircraft types that entered into service in recent years are even better. Advanced new type aircraft pass the standard by 10 to 20% on average. (4/x)
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