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It’s unclear why 2nd waves might be worse than first—because if the virus doesn’t appreciably change than it must be society does. 8 pts we can do now
1. Lay out clearlywhat is acceptable behaviour. eg large gatherings or not? (Stage 3 says “indoor gatherings” under 50 are ok).
1. Lay out clearlywhat is acceptable behaviour. eg large gatherings or not? (Stage 3 says “indoor gatherings” under 50 are ok).
2. Don’t communicate “safety” to people who are unconcerned about their own personal safety (eg 20-35yo), but communicate “freedom”. This means saying that some freedoms must be voluntarily abandoned to have others. It’s about “framing” the choices properly.
3. Btw: talking about the safety of their parents and grandparents, etc.? I’m not convinced that will totally work. We need data to support that strategy—it’s based on too many assumptions.
4. Put performance (not infection) targets on the public, public health, and govt as additional conditions of each stage. We know exponential growth makes low case # tenuous, but #socialmedia tells us people form opinions/make decisions on numbers.
5. Governments must decide what is their responsibility. To decide gathering sizes, etc but not face masking or school policies reflects an unwillingness to make potentially unpopular decisions for the public good. As w/decision on Jays/MLB, decisions for public good ARE popular.
6. The current outcry in the US is a need for a strategy. But what is ours? (Hint: it’s actually the same as that in the US.)
7. Successful countries have shown that, clearly, the secret sauce is not just testing...because the amount of testing varies widely. Rather it’s more granular: test-to-contact time, effectiveness of contact tracing, ensuring isolation (including supporting it w/sick pay, food..)
8. The inevitable subsequent waves can be delayed and attenuated (almost certainly not avoided) but govt needs to do its work now, not just when trouble reappears.
