Read on Twitter
I dont really have insights of the political game that is being played in #Maharashtra but what are the ways that BJP have to be in power again?
I will explain all scenarios in this thread.
I will explain all scenarios in this thread.
1. Poach 2/3rd MLAs of any party among ShivSena, NCP or Congress but safest will be poaching Congress MLAs.
INC is smallest party among all & most vulnerable due to no future in state, weak central leadership & insult is being done in current MVA government
INC is smallest party among all & most vulnerable due to no future in state, weak central leadership & insult is being done in current MVA government
INC has 44 mlas so 30 mlas are 2/3rd. Thus it is accpeted as a legit group & anti defection law wouldnt be applicable.
BJP will have 105 mlas + 10 independents support + 30+ INC mlas that will take BJP to single handed power crossing 144 mas.
BJP will have 105 mlas + 10 independents support + 30+ INC mlas that will take BJP to single handed power crossing 144 mas.
Later, other independents & smaller parties such as BVA, SP, Prahar, Shetkari Kamgar Paksh, MNS can support BJP additionally. That will take BJP beyond & then BJP can tale on NCP, SS mlas & ask them to resign and re elect on BJP symbol. Power remains anyway without risk.
2. Ask opposition MLAs to resign & get them elect in by poll. If around 50 mlas across all major parties resign & out of them 25 gets elected, that should be enough to let BJP form govt with full majority. Many MLAs in Maharashtra hold power to get elected independent as well.
Of course there is a risk but nevertheless BJP can get small parties, indendent to its side.
Pawar is also a master defeating turncoats.
People usually dont like to step down in such bypoll election in Maharashtra as even in general election not more than 60% voting gets polled
Pawar is also a master defeating turncoats.
People usually dont like to step down in such bypoll election in Maharashtra as even in general election not more than 60% voting gets polled
3. Let MVA fall itself. Eventually a day will come when one party will try to exit this alliance due to ambitions.
In my opinion BJP shouldnt engineer break in MVA, that will be big deal needs to be offered to either ShivSena or NCP.
It involves own compromises & sacrifices.
In my opinion BJP shouldnt engineer break in MVA, that will be big deal needs to be offered to either ShivSena or NCP.
It involves own compromises & sacrifices.
Instead let it fall on its own.
BJP will get a far better deal from NCP or ShivSena to ally as they will compete with each other to be in power. BJP can peak better wisely by taking time.
Of course then both parties in power can ask opposition party MLAs to resign & ask bypoll
BJP will get a far better deal from NCP or ShivSena to ally as they will compete with each other to be in power. BJP can peak better wisely by taking time.
Of course then both parties in power can ask opposition party MLAs to resign & ask bypoll
4. Last but not the least.
Let MVA fall itself & let there be president rule for 6 months.
BJP will have all required resources & goodwill of people but of course it holds a far greater risk in my opinion.
This option should be avoided as it poses many risks as well.
Let MVA fall itself & let there be president rule for 6 months.
BJP will have all required resources & goodwill of people but of course it holds a far greater risk in my opinion.
This option should be avoided as it poses many risks as well.
There is no possibility that NCP + ShivSena can get 70 + 70 for blth of them allying or without.
Less voting percentge can be a consequence.
This could be option but not in recent years, better avoid as it doesnt offer fast results & other options are already available.
Less voting percentge can be a consequence.
This could be option but not in recent years, better avoid as it doesnt offer fast results & other options are already available.
