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1/ An update on the Brazilian situation regarding #COVID-19 
The number of new cases has reached a plateau. And that is how it feels in some cities, like São Paulo, for ex: new cases keep showing up at the Hospital but in a maintained rate it´s been weeks.
@OurWorldInData
The number of new cases has reached a plateau. And that is how it feels in some cities, like São Paulo, for ex: new cases keep showing up at the Hospital but in a maintained rate it´s been weeks.
@OurWorldInData
2/ For Sao Paulo city, in the last week, the mean COVID ICU bed occupancy rate was around 60%.
Sao Paulo city has 31 ICU beds/100k inhabitants.
Sao Paulo city has 31 ICU beds/100k inhabitants.
3/ Many epidemiologists are trying to understand the phenomenon of reopening (since last month) especially in Rio and Sao Paulo, w/o having an explosion in the n. of cases:
- would the excess of cases still come, but later?
- Bc of pop. immunity?
- The wheater?
???
are trying to understand the phenomenon of reopening (since last month) especially in Rio and Sao Paulo, w/o having an explosion in the n. of cases:- would the excess of cases still come, but later?
- Bc of pop. immunity?
- The wheater?
???
4/ But not all regions are in the same situation. The south and center-west of Brazil are going through a hard time NOW.
Many of these cities have their healthcare systems near collapse due to #COVID19 (Brasilia, Curitiba).
How is POA, @tarsilavie? https://brasil.elpais.com/brasil/2020-06-13/brasilia-relaxa-quarentena-enquanto-vizinha-ceilandia-multiplica-por-9-as-mortes-por-coronavirus.html
regions are in the same situation. The south and center-west of Brazil are going through a hard time NOW. Many of these cities have their healthcare systems near collapse due to #COVID19 (Brasilia, Curitiba).
How is POA, @tarsilavie? https://brasil.elpais.com/brasil/2020-06-13/brasilia-relaxa-quarentena-enquanto-vizinha-ceilandia-multiplica-por-9-as-mortes-por-coronavirus.html
5/ About the hypothesis that warm and humid weather could contribute to a milder COVID19 scenario:
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2767010
Counterfactuallly speaking, that means that things could have been (much) worse around here?
@JAMANetworkOpen
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2767010
Counterfactuallly speaking, that means that things could have been (much) worse around here?
@JAMANetworkOpen
6/ That reminds me of a famous Brazilian song from the 80´s (Fernanda Abreu) talking about how HOT, from many perspectives, Rio can get!
"Rio, 40oC"
"Rio, 40oC"
