I’m happy to run against Donald Trump every time (although I doubt he makes it to 2024 in his condition).

His win in 2016 was a FLUKE. With every possible thing going his way, he lost by 3 million votes and eked out the EC by < 70K votes - combined - in 3 states. https://twitter.com/tribelaw/status/1281764561394204672

Let’s revisit 2016:

1) Hillary had historic negatives going back to 1992
2) She was following a two-term president from her party (only GHW Bush has pulled that off since Truman, and Truman’s situation is so unusual it hardly qualifies).
3) Comey sideswiped Hillary at the finish

4) Hillary publicly planned her victory party before the election. It was the wrong message to send in a campaign where even a lot of Dems were at best lukewarm on her. It let every independent who didn’t like her sit out the election because she obviously didn’t need their vote.

5) Trump could run as “the outsider,” something people have been trained by Hollywood to believe is a good thing that will work out magically
5a) Trump’s negatives have soared in office. More than half the country will never vote for him again.

It was always a media invention (compounded by the immediate fatalism from many Democrats) that Trump had invented some new path. He didn’t. He delivered standard Republican numbers while Hillary lost 5M Obama voters, with all that good against her, and still for 3M more votes!

Or as I wrote the morning after the election...

https://uppercutting.kinja.com/about-last-night-1788770460

TL; DR - Donald Trump is a bad candidate, he was a bad candidate in 2016, his win was a compete statistical anomaly, and despite an unholy confluence of factors working against Hillary, she still kicked his ass in the popular vote.

He is a loser. He will keep losing.