Why Trump may lose THREAD

1/ Trump won narrowly last time. One of the factors was Hillary was a very unappealing candidate. A lot of young passionate Democrats, many who supported Bernie, didn't show up

2/ Many black voters didn't like Hillary & her superpredator remarks. Even a honkie like me, embourgoisé but with blue collar parents, instinctively feels she's looking down her nose at me as if I'm pondlife

3/ In ordinary times, a senile, corrupt, warmongering, diaper wearing corporate whore like Biden wouldn't do any better. But this year is very different

4/ The racist murder of George Floyd has given the Left a cause & a rallying point. The way it has been spun by BLM & Antifa has wound up all the Bernie supporting types to fever pitch

5/ Some may view this as conspiracy, I don't really know. But it means many Left wing & black voters who ordinarily would have passed on Biden now have a reason to turn out to vote

6/ Of course, the whole premise is bullshit. That there are bad, racist cops doesn't mean you should loot, burn, riot & tear down statues of Abraham Lincoln. The idea that Trump is to blame for Derek Chauvin is pure imbecility

7/ It doesn't matter how stupid it is. People vote based on emotions & the Democrat voters, particularly the Bernie voters, are angry enough to vote for Biden, despite how useless he is, just because they're angry

8/ Some have floated the idea that Trump can counter this with a Nixonian, silent majority, law & order strategy. But there's one big problem. He hasn't done anything discernible to stop the rioting

9/ There's a long way to go & a lot still to play for. But as things stands I'm not optimistic. If Trump wants to win he needs to bring Bannon back & ideally bring @Cernovich onto his team END