The present spike we're seeing in Texas isn't a blow-off top. It's just the first of many oscillations in case counts, & the oscillations won't stop until either a vaccine or herd immunity. https://theprepared.com/blog/future-of-covid-is-a-roller-coaster/?utm_source=twitterjon&utm_campaign=blog&utm_medium=social

I know this via two Cool Tricks: 1) I keep close tabs on what infectious disease experts are saying, and 2) I regularly go outside and look around at what people are doing so that I can see behavior changes in my area.

Given that all the numbers we look at on dashboards -- cases, deaths, hospitalizations -- are the time-delayed result of behavior that happened weeks ago, just going outside & looking around tells you what the curve will be in the future.

As for keeping tabs on what the experts are saying, that keeps me from getting taken in by fairy tales about the virus "getting tired," or "immunological dark matter," or "as mild as the flu," and thereby talking myself out of the obvious.