"Since releasing the update, your product has changed. Your users have changed. The world has changed. Can you be confident that the initial feature update is the root cause?"
That's a classic external validity problem. Can you rely on your A/B tests from before Covid-19? https://twitter.com/patrickdoupe/status/1278583785970438144
That's a classic external validity problem. Can you rely on your A/B tests from before Covid-19? https://twitter.com/patrickdoupe/status/1278583785970438144
"I ran an A/B test: are the results valid now? [...] will the results be valid once 'normal' life resumes?"
In our paper (w/ @eliasbareinboim), we present transportability techniques from the causal AI literature that can shed light on these questions. https://arxiv.org/abs/1912.09104
In our paper (w/ @eliasbareinboim), we present transportability techniques from the causal AI literature that can shed light on these questions. https://arxiv.org/abs/1912.09104
These techniques allow you to leverage the power of graphical causal models to transport experimental results from one domain (pre-Covid-19) to another (now) based on expert knowledge about the differences in causal mechanisms across domains.