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Jerry Jeudy has been a highly touted prospect from Alabama throughout his collegiate career
Film grinders love him, data nerds are a little cooler
let's take a closer look... (thread)
Film grinders love him, data nerds are a little cooler
let's take a closer look... (thread)
Athlete:
Jeudy has good size at 6'1", 193lbs for modern NFL
He is an adequate NFL athlete. He is fast enough and has solid burst.
We do not know his agility bc he did not participate in these drills (smart for WRs these days)
Jeudy has good size at 6'1", 193lbs for modern NFL
He is an adequate NFL athlete. He is fast enough and has solid burst.
We do not know his agility bc he did not participate in these drills (smart for WRs these days)
Production:
This is where concerns creep in...
2019 Alabama MS:
Smith 28%
Jeudy 26%
Ruggs 18%
Jeudy met the 20% threshold, but was unable to distinguish himself as WR1 over a player returning for senior year. Yes, talented team, but still notable
This is where concerns creep in...
2019 Alabama MS:
Smith 28%
Jeudy 26%
Ruggs 18%
Jeudy met the 20% threshold, but was unable to distinguish himself as WR1 over a player returning for senior year. Yes, talented team, but still notable
Metrics that matter:
Breakout age - 19.4
early declare -
Draft Capital - 1st rd
Per @JesseReevesFF BOA database, here are some comps based on BOA of 19 and 1st rd DC. Pretty Pretty nice
Breakout age - 19.4
early declare -
Draft Capital - 1st rd
Per @JesseReevesFF BOA database, here are some comps based on BOA of 19 and 1st rd DC. Pretty Pretty nice
Do you recall above me mentioning concern about production?
that comp list in last post is notable for several names under a 30% dominator rating. If we look at all prospects w/ day 1 or 2 DC (any BOA) w under 30% DR, this is the list we get
Not nearly as nice...
that comp list in last post is notable for several names under a 30% dominator rating. If we look at all prospects w/ day 1 or 2 DC (any BOA) w under 30% DR, this is the list we get
Not nearly as nice...
Situation:
#Broncos are a challenging landing spot to evaluate. Jeudy projects to step in as the slot WR (ce la vie DeaSean) w/ Sutton on the outside
Lock was below average w/mid range targets, which Jeudy will help with. But he did heavily target short-intermediate receivers
#Broncos are a challenging landing spot to evaluate. Jeudy projects to step in as the slot WR (ce la vie DeaSean) w/ Sutton on the outside
Lock was below average w/mid range targets, which Jeudy will help with. But he did heavily target short-intermediate receivers
Shurmur entering as OC may be great news for Lock and Jeudy
Lock was bottom 8 in intended and completed air yards per @NextGenStats. Shurmur emphasized a horizontal passing attack w underneath weapons (Barkley, Tate, Shepherd, Engram) w/ NY
Could lead to early and decent volume
Lock was bottom 8 in intended and completed air yards per @NextGenStats. Shurmur emphasized a horizontal passing attack w underneath weapons (Barkley, Tate, Shepherd, Engram) w/ NY
Could lead to early and decent volume
Conclusion:
Jeudy checks many of the boxes of a top prospect
breakout age
early declare
draft capital
Situation
Concerns do exist w production
Never hit 30% MS/DR
Jeudy checks many of the boxes of a top prospect
breakout age
early declare
draft capital
Situation
Concerns do exist w production
Never hit 30% MS/DR
Dynasty value:
I do not own any shares of Jeudy and I expect I won't based on his ADP. His college production is too much of a red flag and lowers him below where others take him
History shows he has strong chance of hitting a top 24 season, but it won't be on my teams
I do not own any shares of Jeudy and I expect I won't based on his ADP. His college production is too much of a red flag and lowers him below where others take him
History shows he has strong chance of hitting a top 24 season, but it won't be on my teams
