For Marginally Compelling today, I started with an interview with @chrisvcsefalvay a data scientist & epidemiologist who has worked in pandemics before.

If you're short on time, skip to 23:00 where he talks about competence and compassion /1 https://polimath.substack.com/p/patience-is-an-exhausting-virtue

Subscribers have access to both my code and csv files with state-by-state calculated values, including per-capita values (which really make a lot of trends much more clear) /2

I looked at some of the states that have shown increased cases in the last two weeks and noticed near-identical trends in CA, TX, GA, and FL.

Wondering why, I noticed that @NateSilver538 had looked into this as well https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1274900169881014272

So I charted all the southern-most states and saw that they all are seeing similar increases (except for New Mexico)