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#Turkey is moving towards a serious escalation of its provocative threats and illegal actions against #Greece (+ #Cyprus). EU/NATO have remained largely silent and absent, failing to counter the power projection and sovereign infringements of Turkey in the #EastMed. https://twitter.com/dgatopoulos/status/1276085406778437633
As long as Erdogan is allowed to play a geopolitical bully in the larger #EastMed, facing no serious sanctions and only occasionally being peppered by weak statements "calling Turkey to respect" international law and the EU-Turkey agreement (lol), he is only growing more brazen.
The risk of a serious incident between Greece and Turkey is also growing larger by the day. The complete indifference of EU/NATO to limit the Sultan's power-hungry moves has reflexively made Greece more serious in deterring (and countering) any potential aggression by itself.
The Commission has finally stood by Greece (even if mostly symbolically), especially after Turkey's recent hybrid war gimmicks at the Evros border. France & Austria seem to get that Erdogan has turned into a big problem and destabilizing force in the EastMed. Germany not so much.
Given 
economic woes (which have been compounded by the pandemic) and the rising political resistance from opposition forces, Erdogan is becoming increasingly cornered. The prospect of him triggering an incident/crisis w/ 
or
to divert domestic attention is not that far off.
economic woes (which have been compounded by the pandemic) and the rising political resistance from opposition forces, Erdogan is becoming increasingly cornered. The prospect of him triggering an incident/crisis w/ or to divert domestic attention is not that far off.
But a crisis might erupt by accident as well. 's daily violations of airspace and waters and the ensuing dog-fights that occur between jets above the Aegean are extremely high-risk situations that can easily lead to a bilateral crisis (or serious incident), even by mistake.
's daily violations of airspace and waters and the ensuing dog-fights that occur between jets above the Aegean are extremely high-risk situations that can easily lead to a bilateral crisis (or serious incident), even by mistake.
Waiting until *after* a serious crisis between and erupts in order for EU/NATO to take appropriate action vs Erdogan (if at all) is irresponsible, and is only inviting Turkey's authoritarian leader to grow more unhinged not just in his domestic affairs, but also regionally.
and erupts in order for EU/NATO to take appropriate action vs Erdogan (if at all) is irresponsible, and is only inviting Turkey's authoritarian leader to grow more unhinged not just in his domestic affairs, but also regionally.
